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Bundesliga

Referee: B Cortus

Bayern Munich

S T S S S

4–1

Full-time

Hoffenheim

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 53%

72%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

83%

72%

Both score Ø 73%

78%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

2,9

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 15

9 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 4

5 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Hoffenheim 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	18	13	3	2	+28	42
2	RB Leipzig	18	10	5	3	+14	35
3	Leverkusen	18	9	5	4	+14	32
4	Wolfsburg	18	8	8	2	+8	32
5	M'gladbach	18	8	7	3	+7	31
6	Ein Frankfurt	18	7	9	2	+8	30
7	Dortmund	18	9	2	7	+9	29
8	Union Berlin	18	7	7	4	+10	28
9	Freiburg	18	7	6	5	+4	27
10	Stuttgart	19	6	7	6	+6	25
11	Hoffenheim	18	6	4	8	-2	22
12	Augsburg	18	6	4	8	-8	22
13	Werder Bremen	18	5	6	7	-3	21
14	Hertha	18	4	5	9	-8	17
15	Bielefeld	18	5	2	11	-15	17
16	FC Koln	18	3	6	9	-16	15
17	Mainz	19	2	4	13	-22	10
18	Schalke 04	18	1	4	13	-34	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Bayern Munich	8	6	2	0	+19	20
3	M'gladbach	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Wolfsburg	8	5	3	0	+6	18
5	Union Berlin	9	4	4	1	+9	16
6	Freiburg	10	4	4	2	+7	16
7	Leverkusen	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	5	0	+4	14
9	Dortmund	8	4	1	3	+6	13
10	Bielefeld	10	4	0	6	-6	12
11	Hoffenheim	9	3	2	4	+2	11
12	Augsburg	10	3	2	5	-6	11
13	Stuttgart	9	1	5	3	-2	8
14	Werder Bremen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Hertha	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Mainz	10	1	2	7	-10	5
17	Schalke 04	10	1	2	7	-11	5
18	FC Koln	9	0	3	6	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	1	2	+9	22
2	Leverkusen	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Stuttgart	10	5	2	3	+8	17
4	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Dortmund	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Wolfsburg	10	3	5	2	+2	14
7	RB Leipzig	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	+1	13
9	Union Berlin	9	3	3	3	+1	12
10	M'gladbach	8	3	3	2	+0	12
11	FC Koln	9	3	3	3	-6	12
12	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Freiburg	8	3	2	3	-3	11
14	Hoffenheim	9	3	2	4	-4	11
15	Hertha	9	2	3	4	+0	9
16	Bielefeld	8	1	2	5	-9	5
17	Mainz	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Schalke 04	8	0	2	6	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.