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Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

Union Berlin

T U T U S

1–1

Full-time

Hoffenheim

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,3

3,8

Scored

0,5

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

36%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

77%

Both score Ø 66%

64%

68%

Average goals

2,7

3,4

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

4 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

9 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 7. · Hoffenheim 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	23	16	4	3	+35	52
2	RB Leipzig	23	15	5	3	+23	50
3	Wolfsburg	23	12	9	2	+18	45
4	Ein Frankfurt	23	11	9	3	+14	42
5	Dortmund	23	12	3	8	+17	39
6	Leverkusen	22	10	7	5	+16	37
7	Union Berlin	22	8	9	5	+10	33
8	M'gladbach	23	8	9	6	+4	33
9	Stuttgart	23	8	8	7	+8	32
10	Freiburg	22	8	7	7	+1	31
11	Hoffenheim	22	7	5	10	-3	26
12	Werder Bremen	22	6	8	8	-6	26
13	Augsburg	22	6	5	11	-13	23
14	FC Koln	23	5	6	12	-20	21
15	Hertha	23	4	6	13	-16	18
16	Bielefeld	22	5	3	14	-23	18
17	Mainz	22	4	5	13	-20	17
18	Schalke 04	23	1	6	16	-45	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	12	10	1	1	+15	31
2	Bayern Munich	11	8	3	0	+26	27
3	Wolfsburg	11	7	4	0	+11	25
4	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	5	0	+9	23
5	Dortmund	11	6	2	3	+11	20
6	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+8	19
7	Freiburg	12	5	4	3	+7	19
8	M'gladbach	12	5	4	3	+5	19
9	Union Berlin	11	4	6	1	+9	18
10	Hoffenheim	11	4	2	5	+4	14
11	Werder Bremen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
12	Stuttgart	11	2	6	3	+2	12
13	Augsburg	12	3	3	6	-8	12
14	Bielefeld	11	4	0	7	-9	12
15	Mainz	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Hertha	11	2	2	7	-12	8
17	FC Koln	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Schalke 04	12	1	2	9	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	8	1	3	+9	25
2	Wolfsburg	12	5	5	2	+7	20
3	Stuttgart	12	6	2	4	+6	20
4	RB Leipzig	11	5	4	2	+8	19
5	Dortmund	12	6	1	5	+6	19
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	4	3	+5	19
7	Leverkusen	11	5	3	3	+8	18
8	Union Berlin	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	FC Koln	12	4	3	5	-11	15
10	M'gladbach	11	3	5	3	-1	14
11	Werder Bremen	11	3	4	4	-3	13
12	Freiburg	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Hoffenheim	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Augsburg	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Hertha	12	2	4	6	-4	10
16	Mainz	11	2	3	6	-11	9
17	Bielefeld	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	Schalke 04	11	0	4	7	-27	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.