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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Ein Frankfurt
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Mainz
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 39%
48%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
65%
48%
Both score Ø 70%
81%
58%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 5. · Mainz 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 23 5 4 +52 74
2 RB Leipzig 32 19 7 6 +29 64
3 Wolfsburg 32 17 9 6 +25 60
4 Dortmund 32 18 4 10 +25 58
5 Ein Frankfurt 31 15 11 5 +15 56
6 Leverkusen 32 14 9 9 +16 51
7 M'gladbach 32 12 10 10 +7 46
8 Union Berlin 32 11 13 8 +6 46
9 Freiburg 32 12 8 12 +2 44
10 Stuttgart 32 11 9 12 +2 42
11 Hoffenheim 32 10 9 13 -3 39
12 Mainz 31 9 8 14 -16 35
13 Augsburg 32 9 6 17 -17 33
14 Werder Bremen 32 7 10 15 -17 31
15 Hertha 30 7 9 14 -11 30
16 Bielefeld 31 8 6 17 -28 30
17 FC Koln 32 7 8 17 -27 29
18 Schalke 04 31 2 7 22 -60 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Mainz
11′
K. Onisiwo 0–1
D. Kohr
A. Hrustic 🔁
↦ S. Rode
29′
Filip Kostić 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
Ajdin Hrustić 🟨
49′
56′
🔁 J. Boëtius
↦ R. Quaison
T. Chandler 🔁
↦ E. Durm
64′
S. Ilsanker 🔁
↦ D. Sow
64′
A. Younes 🔁
↦ Tuta
65′
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
71′
77′
🔁 L. Öztunali
↦ J. Burkardt
78′
🔁 R. Glatzel
↦ K. Onisiwo
1–1 A. Hrustic
André Silva
85′
89′
🔁 D. Latza
↦ L. Barreiro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-5-2
1 K. Trapp G
20 M. Hasebe D
13 M. Hinteregger D
25 E. Durm M
35 Tuta D
17 S. Rode M
10 F. Kostić M
8 D. Sow M
15 D. Kamada M
33 André Silva F
9 L. Jović F
Bench (9)
7 A. Hrustic
22 T. Chandler
3 S. Ilsanker
32 A. Younes
11 S. Zuber
23 M. Schubert
21 R. Ache
27 A. Barkok
30 J. Willems

Coach: A. Hütter

Mainz

3-4-2-1
27 R. Zentner G
23 P. Mwene M
22 D. da Costa M
42 A. Hack D
19 M. Niakhate D
4 J. St. Juste D
31 D. Kohr M
35 L. Barreiro M
21 K. Onisiwo F
7 R. Quaison F
29 J. Burkardt F
Bench (9)
5 J. Boëtius
8 L. Öztunali
9 R. Glatzel
6 D. Latza
37 F. Dahmen
18 D. Brosinski
20 E. Fernandes
17 K. Stöger
28 Ádám Szalai

Coach: B. Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U ✓
4,06
B
3,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,53
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.