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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Willem II
U T T S T
0–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 40%
19%
61%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
58%
65%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
61%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,1
2,2
Conceded
2,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%
0 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 15. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 32 26 4 2 +75 82
2 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
3 PSV Eindhoven 31 19 8 4 +35 65
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 30 15 8 7 +25 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 32 8 11 13 -8 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 31 6 7 18 -30 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 32 4 10 18 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II PSV Eindhoven
27′
D. Malen 0–1
Y. Vertessen
Half-time 1–1
51′
D. Köhn 1–1
own goal
L. Selahi 🔁
↦ D. Saddiki
68′
M. Köhlert 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
69′
K. Wriedt 🔁
↦ F. Heerkens
69′
69′
🔁 P. Rosario
↦ Y. Vertessen
70′
🔁 A. Fein
↦ C. Gakpo
82′
🟨 Denzel Dumfries
W. Spieringhs 🔁
↦ Pol Llonch
87′
87′
🔁 J. Piroe
↦ N. Madueke
87′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ M. van Ginkel
90′
🔁 N. Viergever
↦ D. Malen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Willem II

5-3-2
49 A. Murić G
4 J. Peters D
3 F. Heerkens D
32 S. van Beek D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Trésor M
10 V. Pavlidis F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
30 L. Selahi
11 M. Köhlert
20 K. Wriedt
43 W. Spieringhs
24 C. van den Berg
22 V. van den Bogert
46 J. van den Avert
26 J. Brondeel
16 R. Zuijderwijk
23 G. Sağlam

Coach: Ž. Petrović

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-2-2
38 Y. Mvogo G
31 P. Max D
28 O. Boscagli D
22 D. Dumfries D
33 J. Teze D
14 M. van Ginkel M
6 I. Sangaré M
9 D. Malen F
19 C. Gakpo M
23 N. Madueke F
53 Y. Vertessen M
Bench (7)
18 P. Rosario
11 A. Fein
29 J. Piroe
24 A. Obispo
4 N. Viergever
16 V. Müller
13 L. Unnerstall

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,56
U
4,83
B ✓
1,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.