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La Liga

Referee: David Medié

Villarreal

T S T T S

2–4

Full-time

Celta

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

32%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

56%

50%

Both score Ø 64%

68%

59%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 1

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Celta 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	35	23	8	4	+39	77
2	Barcelona	35	23	6	6	+47	75
3	Real Madrid	34	22	8	4	+34	74
4	Sevilla	34	22	4	8	+22	70
5	Sociedad	35	15	11	9	+18	56
6	Villarreal	34	13	13	8	+13	52
7	Betis	34	14	9	11	-3	51
8	Ath Bilbao	35	11	13	11	+8	46
9	Granada	34	13	6	15	-12	45
10	Celta	34	11	11	12	-5	44
11	Cadiz	35	11	10	14	-19	43
12	Osasuna	35	10	11	14	-10	41
13	Valencia	35	9	12	14	-5	39
14	Levante	35	9	12	14	-10	39
15	Getafe	35	8	10	17	-15	34
16	Alaves	35	7	11	17	-24	32
17	Valladolid	35	5	16	14	-17	31
18	Huesca	35	6	12	17	-19	30
19	Elche	35	6	12	17	-23	30
20	Eibar	35	6	11	18	-19	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	13	3	1	+28	42
2	Barcelona	18	11	5	2	+25	38
3	Real Madrid	17	12	2	3	+19	38
4	Sevilla	17	12	1	4	+14	37
5	Ath Bilbao	18	8	6	4	+11	30
6	Sociedad	18	8	6	4	+10	30
7	Granada	17	9	3	5	+3	30
8	Betis	17	8	5	4	+4	29
9	Valencia	18	7	7	4	+8	28
10	Villarreal	17	7	6	4	+4	27
11	Celta	17	8	3	6	+0	27
12	Osasuna	17	6	5	6	-2	23
13	Levante	17	5	7	5	-3	22
14	Getafe	18	5	6	7	+1	21
15	Alaves	18	5	6	7	-6	21
16	Elche	17	4	8	5	-5	20
17	Cadiz	18	5	5	8	-11	20
18	Huesca	17	4	6	7	-5	18
19	Valladolid	17	3	7	7	-8	16
20	Eibar	17	2	6	9	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	12	1	4	+22	37
2	Real Madrid	17	10	6	1	+15	36
3	Ath Madrid	18	10	5	3	+11	35
4	Sevilla	17	10	3	4	+8	33
5	Sociedad	17	7	5	5	+8	26
6	Villarreal	17	6	7	4	+9	25
7	Cadiz	17	6	5	6	-8	23
8	Betis	17	6	4	7	-7	22
9	Osasuna	18	4	6	8	-8	18
10	Celta	17	3	8	6	-5	17
11	Levante	18	4	5	9	-7	17
12	Eibar	18	4	5	9	-11	17
13	Ath Bilbao	17	3	7	7	-3	16
14	Valladolid	18	2	9	7	-9	15
15	Granada	17	4	3	10	-15	15
16	Getafe	17	3	4	10	-16	13
17	Huesca	18	2	6	10	-14	12
18	Valencia	17	2	5	10	-13	11
19	Alaves	17	2	5	10	-18	11
20	Elche	18	2	4	12	-18	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.