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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Angers
U T T T T
3–0
Full-time
Dijon
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
0,2
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 20%
31%
9%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
49%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 13. · Dijon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 36 23 10 3 +40 79
2 Paris SG 35 24 3 8 +52 75
3 Lyon 36 21 10 5 +36 73
4 Monaco 35 22 5 8 +32 71
5 Marseille 36 15 11 10 +6 56
6 Lens 36 15 11 10 +4 56
7 Rennes 35 15 9 11 +11 54
8 Montpellier 35 12 11 12 -4 47
9 Metz 35 12 10 13 +0 46
10 Nice 35 13 7 15 -3 46
11 St Etienne 36 12 9 15 -11 45
12 Reims 35 9 15 11 -2 42
13 Angers 35 11 8 16 -19 41
14 Brest 35 11 7 17 -13 40
15 Bordeaux 36 11 6 19 -18 39
16 Strasbourg 35 10 8 17 -10 38
17 Lorient 36 10 8 18 -19 38
18 Nantes 36 8 13 15 -11 37
19 Nimes 35 8 8 19 -29 32
20 Dijon 35 3 9 23 -42 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Dijon
1–0 A. Fulgini
S. Bahoken
7′
A. Bobichon 🔁
↦ I. Amadou
14′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 F. El Melali
A. Fulgini
50′
66′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ M. Dobre
J. Cabot 🔁
↦ F. El Melali
70′
Mathias Lage 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
70′
L. Diony 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
70′
70′
🔁 A. Zagre
↦ J. Marié
70′
🔁 M. Chouiar
↦ F. Sammaritano
83′
🔁 M. Konaté
↦ Mama Baldé
M. Cho 🔁
↦ S. Thioub
85′
3–0 L. Diony
Mathias Lage
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
4 M. Pavlović D
24 R. Thomas D
29 V. Manceau D
5 T. Mangani M
15 P. Capelle D
18 I. Amadou M
10 A. Fulgini M
28 F. El Melali M
19 S. Bahoken F
22 S. Thioub M
Bench (9)
23 A. Bobichon
11 J. Cabot
27 Mathias Lage
9 L. Diony
21 M. Cho
37 O. Falouh
26 W. Taibi
16 L. Butelle
34 K. Mouanga

Coach: S. Moulin

Dijon

4-2-3-1
16 S. Allagbé G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
26 F. Chafik D
3 G. Ngonda D
4 J. Panzo D
7 F. Sammaritano M
14 J. Marié M
22 D. Ndong M
17 Mama Baldé F
29 M. Dobre M
8 E. Ebimbe M
Bench (7)
27 A. Kamara
12 A. Zagre
21 M. Chouiar
11 M. Konaté
19 A. Ngouyamsa
18 W. Younoussa
1 A. Racioppi

Coach: D. Linarès

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,60
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.