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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Werder Bremen

T T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Mainz

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 29/28 matches

Win Ø 25%

24%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

41%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

66%

57%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

18 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 13. · Mainz 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	30	22	5	3	+47	71
2	RB Leipzig	30	18	7	5	+28	61
3	Ein Frankfurt	30	15	11	4	+17	56
4	Wolfsburg	29	15	9	5	+22	54
5	Dortmund	29	15	4	10	+20	49
6	Leverkusen	30	13	8	9	+14	47
7	M'gladbach	29	11	10	8	+9	43
8	Union Berlin	29	10	13	6	+9	43
9	Freiburg	29	11	7	11	+2	40
10	Stuttgart	29	10	9	10	+5	39
11	Augsburg	30	9	6	15	-15	33
12	Hoffenheim	29	8	8	13	-6	32
13	Werder Bremen	29	7	9	13	-14	30
14	Bielefeld	30	8	6	16	-23	30
15	Mainz	28	7	7	14	-18	28
16	Hertha	28	6	8	14	-14	26
17	FC Koln	30	6	8	16	-25	26
18	Schalke 04	30	2	7	21	-58	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	4	0	+34	37
2	Ein Frankfurt	15	9	6	0	+15	33
3	RB Leipzig	15	10	3	2	+14	33
4	Wolfsburg	14	9	4	1	+16	31
5	Dortmund	14	8	2	4	+15	26
6	Union Berlin	15	6	8	1	+11	26
7	Freiburg	15	7	4	4	+10	25
8	Leverkusen	15	7	4	4	+10	25
9	M'gladbach	15	7	4	4	+9	25
10	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-5	19
11	Bielefeld	16	6	1	9	-10	19
12	Stuttgart	14	4	6	4	+4	18
13	Hoffenheim	14	5	3	6	+4	18
14	Hertha	14	4	3	7	-8	15
15	Werder Bremen	14	3	4	7	-9	13
16	Mainz	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	FC Koln	15	2	5	8	-9	11
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-20	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+13	34
2	RB Leipzig	15	8	4	3	+14	28
3	Wolfsburg	15	6	5	4	+6	23
4	Dortmund	15	7	2	6	+5	23
5	Ein Frankfurt	15	6	5	4	+2	23
6	Leverkusen	15	6	4	5	+4	22
7	Stuttgart	15	6	3	6	+1	21
8	M'gladbach	14	4	6	4	+0	18
9	Union Berlin	14	4	5	5	-2	17
10	Werder Bremen	15	4	5	6	-5	17
11	Mainz	14	4	4	6	-9	16
12	Freiburg	14	4	3	7	-8	15
13	FC Koln	15	4	3	8	-16	15
14	Hoffenheim	15	3	5	7	-10	14
15	Augsburg	15	4	2	9	-10	14
16	Hertha	14	2	5	7	-6	11
17	Bielefeld	14	2	5	7	-13	11
18	Schalke 04	15	0	4	11	-38	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.