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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Shakhtar Donetsk
S U T U U
0–4
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 52%
20%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,6
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,7
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
5 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Sep -22 RB Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk 1–4

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk RB Leipzig
10′
⚽ C. Nkunku 0–1
19′
🔁 E. Forsberg
↦ T. Werner
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–2
50′
⚽ André Silva 0–2
M. Simakan
D. Sikan 🔁
↦ L. Traoré
59′
Lucas Taylor 🔁
↦ Y. Konoplya
59′
N. Đurasek 🔁
↦ H. Sudakov
59′
62′
⚽ D. Szoboszlai 0–3
C. Nkunku
Lucas Taylor 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 Dani Olmo
↦ D. Szoboszlai
67′
🔁 B. Henrichs
↦ M. Simakan
67′
🔁 M. Halstenberg
↦ D. Raum
68′
⚽ V. Bondar 1–3
own goal
A. Totovytskyi 🔁
↦ M. Mudryk
74′
74′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ X. Schlager
D. Kryskiv 🔁
↦ A. Bondarenko
81′
Danylo Sikan 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
81 A. Trubin G
26 Y. Konoplya D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matvienko D
15 B. Mykhailichenko D
6 T. Stepanenko M
34 I. Petryak M
21 A. Bondarenko M
8 H. Sudakov M
10 M. Mudryk M
2 L. Traoré F
Bench (12)
14 D. Sikan
23 Lucas Taylor
17 N. Đurasek
7 A. Totovytskyi
16 D. Kryskiv
30 A. Pyatov
1 O. Shevchenko
27 O. Ocheretko
4 S. Kryvtsov
20 D. Topalov
32 E. Kozik
19 A. Kulakov

Coach: I. Jovičević

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
21 J. Blaswich G
2 M. Simakan D
4 W. Orbán D
32 J. Gvardiol D
22 D. Raum D
24 X. Schlager M
44 K. Kampl M
17 D. Szoboszlai M
18 C. Nkunku M
11 T. Werner M
19 André Silva F
Bench (9)
10 E. Forsberg
7 Dani Olmo
39 B. Henrichs
23 M. Halstenberg
37 A. Diallo
34 J. Nickisch
36 T. Schlieck
38 Hugo Novoa
8 A. Haidara

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.