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Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Bayern Munich

S S S U S

3–3

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

3,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 73%

78%

67%

Points per game

2,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

89%

56%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

4,9

2,7

Scored

3,4

2,0

Conceded

1,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 2

0 Offside 4

5 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · RB Leipzig 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	1	1	+18	22
2	RB Leipzig	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	Dortmund	10	6	1	3	+12	19
4	Leverkusen	9	5	4	0	+7	19
5	Wolfsburg	10	4	6	0	+6	18
6	Union Berlin	10	4	4	2	+8	16
7	M'gladbach	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Ein Frankfurt	10	2	7	1	-2	13
9	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Stuttgart	9	2	5	2	+2	11
11	Hertha	10	3	2	5	-1	11
12	Werder Bremen	9	2	5	2	-2	11
13	Hoffenheim	9	2	3	4	-1	9
14	Freiburg	10	1	5	4	-10	8
15	FC Koln	10	1	4	5	-5	7
16	Bielefeld	10	2	1	7	-12	7
17	Mainz	10	1	2	7	-12	5
18	Schalke 04	9	0	3	6	-22	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Wolfsburg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+14	10
4	Dortmund	5	3	0	2	+8	9
5	M'gladbach	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+7	8
7	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Freiburg	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	Schalke 04	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	FC Koln	6	0	2	4	-5	2
18	Mainz	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Stuttgart	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Hertha	5	2	1	2	+4	7
7	Wolfsburg	5	1	4	0	+2	7
8	M'gladbach	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	3	1	-3	6
11	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	FC Koln	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Hoffenheim	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Freiburg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
16	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Bielefeld	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-18	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.