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Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

RB Leipzig

U S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Freiburg

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,2

Scored

3,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 54%

46%

62%

Points per game

1,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

69%

46%

Both score Ø 43%

54%

31%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 6. · Freiburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	9	4	1	+34	31
2	Freiburg	13	8	3	2	+7	27
3	Union Berlin	13	8	2	3	+7	26
4	Dortmund	14	8	1	5	+6	25
5	Ein Frankfurt	13	7	2	4	+6	23
6	RB Leipzig	13	6	4	3	+6	22
7	Werder Bremen	14	6	3	5	-1	21
8	Wolfsburg	14	5	5	4	+3	20
9	M'gladbach	14	5	4	5	+2	19
10	Hoffenheim	13	5	3	5	+3	18
11	Mainz	13	5	3	5	-4	18
12	FC Koln	14	4	5	5	-6	17
13	Leverkusen	14	4	3	7	-3	15
14	Stuttgart	14	3	5	6	-7	14
15	Augsburg	13	4	2	7	-7	14
16	Hertha	14	2	5	7	-5	11
17	Bochum	14	3	1	10	-23	10
18	Schalke 04	13	1	3	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	5	2	0	+20	17
2	RB Leipzig	6	5	1	0	+12	16
3	Dortmund	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Union Berlin	6	5	1	0	+8	16
5	M'gladbach	7	5	0	2	+8	15
6	Freiburg	6	4	1	1	+4	13
7	Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	FC Koln	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Stuttgart	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	1	3	+3	10
11	Werder Bremen	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Hoffenheim	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Bochum	7	3	1	3	-5	10
14	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	+4	8
15	Hertha	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Mainz	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Augsburg	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Schalke 04	6	1	1	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	4	2	1	+14	14
2	Freiburg	7	4	2	1	+3	14
3	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Mainz	7	4	0	3	-3	12
5	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-3	11
6	Union Berlin	7	3	1	3	-1	10
7	Augsburg	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Dortmund	7	3	0	4	-4	9
9	Hoffenheim	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	Wolfsburg	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Leverkusen	7	2	1	4	-7	7
12	RB Leipzig	7	1	3	3	-6	6
13	FC Koln	7	1	3	3	-8	6
14	Hertha	7	1	1	5	-4	4
15	M'gladbach	7	0	4	3	-6	4
16	Stuttgart	6	0	3	3	-8	3
17	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-9	2
18	Bochum	7	0	0	7	-18	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.