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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Villarreal

U U T U S

2–0

Full-time

Valladolid

T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

100%

25%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

4,5

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 10. · Valladolid 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+1	9
3	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Granada	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Osasuna	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Levante	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Alaves	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Valladolid	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Betis	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Celta	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-4	4
18	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-1	3
19	Eibar	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Levante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Betis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Celta	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Granada	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Barcelona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.