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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Barcelona

S U T S U

5–2

Full-time

Valencia

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

1,7

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 10. · Valencia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Levante	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	+2	5
8	Osasuna	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Granada	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Celta	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Betis	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Villarreal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Osasuna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Granada	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
5	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Barcelona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.