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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Ath Bilbao

U T T U T

3–0

Full-time

Espanol

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

20%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 15%

30%

Both score Ø 30%

30%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%

7 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 20

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 12. · Espanol 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	1	2	+17	22
2	Granada	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Ath Madrid	11	5	5	1	+5	20
4	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
5	Sociedad	11	6	1	4	+6	19
6	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+7	18
7	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+10	17
8	Osasuna	10	3	5	2	+1	14
9	Levante	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Valencia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
11	Valladolid	11	3	5	3	-3	14
12	Ath Bilbao	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Getafe	10	3	4	3	+0	13
14	Alaves	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Mallorca	10	3	1	6	-6	10
16	Eibar	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Celta	10	2	3	5	-7	9
18	Betis	10	2	3	5	-8	9
19	Espanol	10	2	2	6	-10	8
20	Leganes	10	1	2	7	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Granada	5	4	0	1	+4	12
4	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+9	11
5	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Valencia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
9	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
10	Mallorca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+5	9
12	Osasuna	5	2	3	0	+3	9
13	Betis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
15	Levante	5	2	2	1	+2	8
16	Celta	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+2	6
18	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Espanol	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	-1	10
3	Granada	5	2	2	1	+3	8
4	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Espanol	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-5	8
8	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	+1	6
10	Levante	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Ath Bilbao	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Celta	4	0	2	2	-4	2
17	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Alaves	5	0	1	4	-9	1
19	Betis	5	0	1	4	-10	1
20	Mallorca	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.