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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Betis
S T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Celta
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
60%
10%
Both score Ø 55%
80%
30%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 17
6 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 18. · Celta 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +17 22
2 Granada 10 6 2 2 +7 20
3 Ath Madrid 11 5 5 1 +5 20
4 Sevilla 11 6 2 3 +2 20
5 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
6 Real Madrid 9 5 3 1 +7 18
7 Villarreal 10 5 2 3 +10 17
8 Ath Bilbao 11 4 4 3 +4 16
9 Osasuna 10 3 5 2 +1 14
10 Levante 11 4 2 5 -1 14
11 Valencia 11 3 5 3 -2 14
12 Valladolid 11 3 5 3 -3 14
13 Getafe 10 3 4 3 +0 13
14 Alaves 11 3 3 5 -5 12
15 Mallorca 10 3 1 6 -6 10
16 Eibar 10 2 3 5 -5 9
17 Celta 10 2 3 5 -7 9
18 Betis 10 2 3 5 -8 9
19 Espanol 11 2 2 7 -13 8
20 Leganes 10 1 2 7 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Celta
1–0 Emerson
Borja Iglesias
8′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ Santi Mina
Zouhair Feddal 🟨
50′
A. Guardado 🔁
↦ Joaquín
62′
Andrés Guardado 🟨
64′
Ismael Gutiérrez 🟨
67′
Borja Iglesias 🟨
69′
70′
Iago Aspas 1–1
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ Ismael Gutiérrez
71′
D. Lainez 🔁
↦ Bartra
79′
Emerson 🟨
80′
86′
🔁 Sergio Bermejo
↦ Denis Suárez
87′
🔁 G. Fernández
↦ Rafinha
Joel Robles 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Néstor Araujo
2–1 N. Fekir
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Joel Robles G
22 Emerson D
23 Aïssa Mandi D
4 Zouhair Feddal D
15 Alex Moreno D
37 Ismael Gutiérrez M
5 Marc Bartra M
17 Joaquín M
8 Nabil Fekir M
10 Sergio Canales M
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
31 Carlos Marin
12 Sidnei
19 Antonio Barragán
20 Diego Lainez
18 Andrés Guardado
16 Loren Moron
11 Cristian Tello

Coach: Rubí

Celta

4-2-3-1
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
18 Joseph Aidoo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
17 David Juncà D
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
8 Fran Beltran M
22 Santi Mina M
12 Rafinha Alcántara M
6 Denis Suárez M
10 Iago Aspas F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Álvarez
15 Lucas Olaza
3 David Costas
5 Okay Yokuşlu
23 Brais Méndez
28 Sergio Bermejo Lillo
19 Gabriel Fernández

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,47
B
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.