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Primeira Liga

Referee: António Nobre

Rio Ave

U T S T U

1–1

Full-time

Moreirense

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 30%

38%

22%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

38%

44%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

2,9

2,0

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%

20 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

13 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 8. · Moreirense 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	8	0	1	+19	24
2	Benfica	9	8	0	1	+15	24
3	Famalicao	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Sp Lisbon	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Tondela	10	3	4	3	+0	13
6	Guimaraes	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Boavista	8	2	6	0	+2	12
8	Rio Ave	8	3	2	3	+3	11
9	Sp Braga	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Santa Clara	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Maritimo	9	2	4	3	-3	10
12	Moreirense	9	2	3	4	-2	9
13	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Setubal	8	1	5	2	-4	8
15	Vitoria Setubal	8	1	5	2	-4	8
16	Gil Vicente	9	1	5	3	-5	8
17	Portimonense	9	1	4	4	-4	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	2	5	-9	5
19	Aves	9	1	0	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Famalicao	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Guimaraes	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Gil Vicente	6	1	5	0	+1	8
6	Moreirense	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Setubal	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Sp Braga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Sp Lisbon	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Boavista	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Rio Ave	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Aves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Belenenses	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Portimonense	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Tondela	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Tondela	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Famalicao	5	3	1	1	+1	10
4	Porto	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Sp Lisbon	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Boavista	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Portimonense	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Maritimo	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Sp Braga	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Santa Clara	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Moreirense	5	0	2	3	-5	2
15	Setubal	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Gil Vicente	3	0	0	3	-6	0
19	Aves	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.