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Primeira Liga

Referee: Cláudio Pereira

Famalicao

S S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Gil Vicente

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,8

0,8

Scored

2,2

0,2

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 43%

75%

11%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

63%

22%

Both score Ø 48%

63%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,4

Scored

2,0

0,4

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Famalicao 3. · Gil Vicente 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	9	0	1	+19	27
2	Porto	10	8	1	1	+19	25
3	Famalicao	8	6	1	1	+6	19
4	Guimaraes	9	4	3	2	+7	15
5	Sp Lisbon	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Tondela	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Rio Ave	9	3	3	3	+3	12
8	Boavista	8	2	6	0	+2	12
9	Sp Braga	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Santa Clara	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Maritimo	10	2	5	3	-3	11
12	Moreirense	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Setubal	8	1	5	2	-4	8
14	Vitoria Setubal	8	1	5	2	-4	8
15	Gil Vicente	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Belenenses	9	2	2	5	-9	8
17	Portimonense	10	1	4	5	-8	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	2	5	-9	5
19	Aves	9	1	0	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Guimaraes	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	Famalicao	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Gil Vicente	6	1	5	0	+1	8
6	Moreirense	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Setubal	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Sp Braga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Sp Lisbon	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Boavista	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Maritimo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Aves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
17	Belenenses	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Portimonense	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Tondela	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Tondela	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Porto	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Famalicao	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Sp Lisbon	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Boavista	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Maritimo	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Portimonense	6	1	3	2	-4	6
10	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Sp Braga	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Santa Clara	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-5	3
15	Setubal	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Gil Vicente	3	0	0	3	-6	0
19	Aves	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.