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Serie A
Referee: J Sacchi
Cagliari
S U U S U
3–2
Full-time
Bologna
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 7. · Bologna 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 10 8 1 1 +12 25
2 Juventus 9 7 2 0 +8 23
3 Atalanta 10 6 3 1 +14 21
4 Napoli 10 5 3 2 +7 18
5 Roma 9 4 4 1 +3 16
6 Lazio 9 4 3 2 +8 15
7 Cagliari 9 4 3 2 +5 15
8 Parma 10 4 1 5 +1 13
9 Fiorentina 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Bologna 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 Verona 10 3 3 4 -1 12
12 Torino 9 3 2 4 -1 11
13 Milan 9 3 1 5 -4 10
14 Udinese 9 3 1 5 -8 10
15 Sassuolo 8 3 0 5 -1 9
16 Lecce 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Genoa 9 2 2 5 -9 8
18 Brescia 9 2 1 6 -5 7
19 Spal 9 2 1 6 -9 7
20 Sampdoria 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Bologna
Luca Cigarini 🟨
19′
23′
Federico Santander 0–1
25′
🟨 Riccardo Orsolini
Half-time 1–1
1–1 João Pedro
Luca Pellegrini
48′
2–1 João Pedro
Luca Pellegrini
49′
60′
🔁 Rodrigo Palacio
↦ Federico Santander
Lucas Castro 🔁
↦ Nahitan Nández
65′
70′
🔁 Andreas Skov Olsen
↦ Riccardo Orsolini
Christian Oliva 🔁
↦ Luca Cigarini
71′
3–1 Giovanni Simeone
72′
Artur Ioniță 🔁
↦ Radja Nainggolan
82′
82′
🔁 Mattias Svanberg
↦ Roberto Soriano
4–1 João Pedro
83′
Luca Pellegrini 🟨
90′
90′
Paolo Faragò 5–1
own goal
90′
Robin Olsen 6–1
own goal
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
90 Robin Olsen G
24 Paolo Faragò D
19 Fabio Pisacane D
15 Ragnar Klavan D
33 Luca Pellegrini D
18 Nahitan Nández M
8 Luca Cigarini M
6 Marko Rog M
4 Radja Nainggolan M
99 Giovanni Simeone F
10 João Pedro F
Bench (12)
20 Simone Aresti
1 Rafael
40 Sebastian Walukiewicz
22 Charalampos Lykogiannis
12 Fabrizio Cacciatore
29 Lucas Castro
27 Alessandro Deiola
21 Artur Ioniță
17 Christian Oliva
14 Valter Birsa
9 Alberto Cerri
26 Daniele Ragatzu

Coach: R. Maran

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Łukasz Skorupski G
15 Ibrahima Mbaye D
13 Mattia Bani D
4 Stefano Denswil D
11 Ladislav Krejčí D
30 Jerdy Schouten M
31 Blerim Džemaili M
7 Riccardo Orsolini M
21 Roberto Soriano M
10 Nicola Sansone M
9 Federico Santander F
Bench (10)
1 Angelo Da Costa
97 Mouhamadou Fallou Mbacke Sarr
25 Gabriele Corbo
6 Nehuén Paz
23 Danilo
32 Mattias Svanberg
16 Andrea Poli
26 Musa Juwara
24 Rodrigo Palacio
17 Andreas Skov Olsen

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,71
U
3,34
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.