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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Osasuna
U S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
60%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
47%
27%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 7
22 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 10. · Sevilla 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 11 1 3 +23 34
2 Real Madrid 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Sevilla 15 9 3 3 +5 30
4 Sociedad 16 8 3 5 +8 27
5 Getafe 16 7 6 3 +8 27
6 Ath Bilbao 16 7 5 4 +7 26
7 Ath Madrid 16 6 8 2 +6 26
8 Valencia 16 7 5 4 +3 26
9 Granada 16 7 3 6 +3 24
10 Osasuna 15 5 7 3 +4 22
11 Betis 16 6 4 6 -5 22
12 Levante 16 6 2 8 -5 20
13 Villarreal 16 5 4 7 +4 19
14 Valladolid 16 4 7 5 -4 19
15 Alaves 16 5 3 8 -6 18
16 Eibar 16 4 3 9 -13 15
17 Mallorca 16 4 2 10 -12 14
18 Celta 16 3 4 9 -11 13
19 Leganes 16 2 3 11 -16 9
20 Espanol 16 2 3 11 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Sevilla
10′
🟨 Jules Koundé
11′
Munir 0–1
É. Banega
Raúl Navas 🟨
16′
Adrián 🔁
↦ Cardona
27′
44′
🟨 Sergio Reguilón
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Éver Banega
1–1 E. Ávila
47′
Oier 🟨
49′
59′
🔁 Daniel Carriço
↦ J. Koundé
59′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ Joan Jordán
Oier 🟨
61′
Oier 🟥
61′
Unai García 🔁
↦ Moncayola
72′
Fran Mérida 🔁
↦ Rubén García
76′
Fran Mérida 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 M. Dabour
↦ Óliver Torres
89′
🟨 Jesús Navas
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-4-2
26 Juan Pérez G
27 Jon Moncayola D
3 Raúl Navas D
5 David García D
30 Pervis Estupinan D
10 Roberto Torres M
6 Oier M
20 Darko Brašanac M
14 Rubén García M
7 Marc Cardona F
9 Chimy Ávila F
Bench (7)
37 Iñaki Álvarez
4 Unai García
8 Fran Mérida
17 Robert Ibáñez
21 Iñigo Pérez
22 Adrián López
18 Juan Villar

Coach: Arrasate

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Tomáš Vaclík G
16 Jesús Navas D
12 Jules Koundé D
20 Diego Carlos D
23 Sergio Reguilón D
24 Joan Jordan M
25 Fernando M
10 Éver Banega M
11 Munir El Haddadi F
14 Javier Hernández F
21 Óliver Torres F
Bench (7)
13 Bono
6 Daniel Carriço
22 Franco Vázquez
17 Nemanja Gudelj
19 Luuk de Jong
9 Munas Dabbur
30 Bryan Gil

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,44
U ✓
3,38
B
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.