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La Liga

Referee: José González

Sevilla

S T S S U

1–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,3

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 18%

27%

Both score Ø 32%

36%

27%

Average goals

2,4

1,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 5. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+15	22
2	Real Madrid	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Granada	11	6	2	3	+5	20
4	Ath Madrid	11	5	5	1	+5	20
5	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
6	Sociedad	11	6	1	4	+6	19
7	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	+9	17
8	Levante	12	5	2	5	+1	17
9	Valencia	12	4	5	3	-1	17
10	Ath Bilbao	11	4	4	3	+4	16
11	Getafe	11	4	4	3	+2	16
12	Osasuna	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Valladolid	11	3	5	3	-3	14
14	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-4	12
15	Alaves	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Betis	11	3	3	5	-7	12
17	Mallorca	11	3	2	6	-6	11
18	Celta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
19	Espanol	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Leganes	11	1	2	8	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Granada	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+9	11
7	Getafe	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Levante	6	3	2	1	+4	11
9	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Betis	6	3	2	1	+3	11
11	Mallorca	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Valencia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
13	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
14	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+5	9
15	Osasuna	5	2	3	0	+3	9
16	Eibar	5	3	0	2	+0	9
17	Celta	6	2	1	3	-3	7
18	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+2	6
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Espanol	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	-1	10
3	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Granada	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-5	8
8	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Villarreal	6	2	0	4	+0	6
11	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Levante	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Celta	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Alaves	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-9	1
19	Betis	5	0	1	4	-10	1
20	Mallorca	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.