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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Nantes

T T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Dijon

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

44%

25%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

31%

38%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

1,9

1,8

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 13. · Dijon 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	13	0	3	+26	39
2	Marseille	16	9	4	3	+4	31
3	Lille	17	8	4	5	+6	28
4	Rennes	16	8	3	5	+5	27
5	Bordeaux	16	7	5	4	+10	26
6	Lyon	17	7	4	6	+12	25
7	St Etienne	17	7	4	6	-2	25
8	Reims	16	6	6	4	+5	24
9	Montpellier	17	6	6	5	+4	24
10	Monaco	16	7	3	6	+1	24
11	Angers	17	7	3	7	-3	24
12	Nice	17	7	2	8	-2	23
13	Nantes	16	7	2	7	-2	23
14	Brest	17	5	6	6	+1	21
15	Strasbourg	17	6	3	8	-3	21
16	Dijon	16	4	4	8	-7	16
17	Amiens	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Metz	17	3	6	8	-11	15
19	Toulouse	17	3	3	11	-16	12
20	Nimes	16	2	6	8	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Paris SG	8	7	0	1	+18	21
3	Angers	9	6	1	2	+9	19
4	Montpellier	9	6	1	2	+7	19
5	Nice	9	5	2	2	+5	17
6	Strasbourg	9	5	2	2	+5	17
7	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+4	17
8	Brest	9	4	4	1	+9	16
9	Monaco	8	5	1	2	+6	16
10	Rennes	8	5	1	2	+4	16
11	Nantes	8	5	1	2	+3	16
12	Bordeaux	8	4	2	2	+9	14
13	Reims	9	3	5	1	+4	14
14	St Etienne	8	3	4	1	+4	13
15	Dijon	8	3	3	2	+0	12
16	Lyon	8	3	2	3	+6	11
17	Amiens	7	3	1	3	-3	10
18	Metz	8	2	3	3	+0	9
19	Toulouse	8	3	0	5	-4	9
20	Nimes	7	2	2	3	-2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	0	2	+8	18
2	Lyon	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Marseille	8	4	2	2	+0	14
4	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+1	12
5	St Etienne	9	4	0	5	-6	12
6	Rennes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
7	Reims	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Monaco	8	2	2	4	-5	8
9	Nantes	8	2	1	5	-5	7
10	Nice	8	2	0	6	-7	6
11	Amiens	9	1	3	5	-9	6
12	Metz	9	1	3	5	-11	6
13	Montpellier	8	0	5	3	-3	5
14	Lille	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Brest	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Angers	8	1	2	5	-12	5
17	Dijon	8	1	1	6	-7	4
18	Strasbourg	8	1	1	6	-8	4
19	Nimes	9	0	4	5	-14	4
20	Toulouse	9	0	3	6	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.