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Eredivisie
Referee: Richard Martens
0–0
Full-time
Heracles
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
33%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
80%
53%
Both score Ø 60%
67%
53%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 13
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 11. · Heracles 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 16 13 2 1 +38 41
2 AZ Alkmaar 16 12 2 2 +30 38
3 PSV Eindhoven 16 9 4 3 +18 31
4 Willem II 16 9 2 5 +4 29
5 Heerenveen 16 7 6 3 +8 27
6 Utrecht 16 8 2 6 +7 26
7 Feyenoord 16 6 7 3 +2 25
8 Heracles 15 7 3 5 +7 24
9 Vitesse 16 7 3 6 +2 24
10 Groningen 16 6 3 7 +1 21
11 Sparta Rotterdam 15 5 4 6 -4 19
12 Twente 16 5 4 7 -5 19
13 FC Emmen 16 4 3 9 -14 15
14 For Sittard 16 4 3 9 -20 15
15 VVV Venlo 16 5 0 11 -23 15
16 Zwolle 16 4 1 11 -15 13
17 Den Haag 16 3 3 10 -13 12
18 Waalwijk 16 2 2 12 -23 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Heracles
Jurgen Matheij 🟨
22′
25′
🟨 Orestis Kiomourtzoglou
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Mohammed Osman
D. Duarte 🔁
↦ A. Harroui
59′
L. Duarte 🔁
↦ M. Rayhi
64′
J. Piroe 🔁
↦ H. Dervişoğlu
77′
Deroy Duarte 🟨
82′
85′
🔁 J. Konings
↦ D. dos Santos
89′
🔁 T. Bijleveld
↦ Mauro Júnior
Lassana Faye 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Robin Propper
90′
🟥 Joey Konings
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-1-2
1 A. Harush G
3 B. Vriends D
4 J. Mattheij D
2 D. Abels D
5 L. Faye D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
7 A. Harroui M
8 M. Rayhi M
9 R. Ache F
11 H. Dervişoğlu F
Bench (9)
15 D. Duarte
14 L. Duarte
13 J. Piroe
16 D. Rigo
30 M. Fabrie
17 A. Aberkane
20 T. Coremans
12 K. Karami
19 L. Veldwijk

Coach: H. Fraser

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
13 M. Knoester D
3 L. Czyborra D
52 A. Merkel M
10 Mauro Júnior F
22 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 Mohammed Osman M
24 D. dos Santos F
9 C. Dessers F
Bench (9)
25 J. Konings
8 T. Bijleveld
16 M. Brouwer
23 M. Rossmann
17 A. Szöke
6 D. Van den Buijs
21 S. Jakubiak
26 K. Bucker
34 J. Hardeveld

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,71
B
3,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Richard Martens · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.