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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Leganes

T S T T U

1–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

0,7

3,2

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+2,3

This season — La Liga · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

38%

75%

Both score Ø 52%

46%

58%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

0,5

2,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

23% Possession 77%

9 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 20. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	1	3	+18	25
2	Real Madrid	12	7	4	1	+16	25
3	Ath Madrid	13	6	6	1	+7	24
4	Sevilla	13	7	3	3	+3	24
5	Sociedad	13	7	2	4	+7	23
6	Ath Bilbao	13	5	5	3	+5	20
7	Getafe	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Granada	13	6	2	5	+2	20
9	Valencia	13	5	5	3	+1	20
10	Levante	14	6	2	6	+1	20
11	Osasuna	13	4	7	2	+3	19
12	Villarreal	13	5	3	5	+7	18
13	Valladolid	13	4	5	4	-3	17
14	Alaves	13	4	3	6	-4	15
15	Eibar	13	4	3	6	-7	15
16	Mallorca	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Betis	13	3	4	6	-8	13
18	Celta	13	2	3	8	-12	9
19	Espanol	13	2	2	9	-16	8
20	Leganes	13	1	3	9	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+6	15
4	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+10	14
5	Alaves	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Levante	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Valencia	7	3	4	0	+5	13
9	Villarreal	6	3	3	0	+9	12
10	Osasuna	6	3	3	0	+5	12
11	Getafe	7	3	3	1	+4	12
12	Granada	6	4	0	2	+3	12
13	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+3	11
14	Betis	7	3	2	2	+2	11
15	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+5	10
16	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
17	Eibar	6	3	0	3	-4	9
18	Celta	7	2	1	4	-4	7
19	Leganes	7	1	1	5	-6	4
20	Espanol	6	0	0	6	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+2	13
2	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+0	13
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Granada	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Getafe	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Espanol	7	2	2	3	-5	8
8	Valladolid	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	Osasuna	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Villarreal	7	2	0	5	-2	6
13	Eibar	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Levante	7	2	0	5	-4	6
15	Ath Bilbao	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Celta	6	0	2	4	-8	2
17	Leganes	6	0	2	4	-9	2
18	Betis	6	0	2	4	-10	2
19	Alaves	6	0	1	5	-11	1
20	Mallorca	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.