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La Liga
Referee: David Medié
Osasuna
U T S U T
3–4
Full-time
Sociedad
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
29%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
65%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 11. · Sociedad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 12 3 3 +26 39
2 Real Madrid 17 10 6 1 +21 36
3 Sevilla 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Getafe 18 8 6 4 +9 30
5 Ath Madrid 17 7 8 2 +8 29
6 Sociedad 17 8 4 5 +8 28
7 Valencia 18 7 7 4 +3 28
8 Ath Bilbao 17 7 6 4 +7 27
9 Villarreal 18 7 4 7 +6 25
10 Granada 18 7 3 8 -1 24
11 Osasuna 17 5 8 4 +2 23
12 Levante 17 7 2 8 -4 23
13 Betis 17 6 5 6 -5 23
14 Valladolid 18 4 8 6 -6 20
15 Alaves 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 Eibar 18 5 4 9 -10 19
17 Mallorca 18 4 3 11 -14 15
18 Celta 17 3 5 9 -11 14
19 Leganes 18 3 4 11 -14 13
20 Espanol 18 2 4 12 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Sociedad
5′
🟨 Igor Zubeldia
15′
Mikel Oyarzabal 0–1
M. Ødegaard
18′
Portu 0–2
28′
M. Ødegaard 0–3
Pervis Estupinan 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–3
1–3 Aridane
Roberto Torres
46′
Darko Brašanac 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 Gorosabel
↦ Nacho Monreal
2–3 E. Ávila
48′
67′
🔁 R. Le Normand
↦ Guevara
Facundo Roncaglia 🟥
70′
70′
🟨 Willian José
Sergio Herrera 🟨
71′
Moncayola 🔁
↦ D. Brašanac
75′
Fran Mérida 🔁
↦ Adrián
75′
77′
🔁 A. Isak
↦ Willian José
79′
A. Isak 2–4
Zubeldía
3–4 E. Ávila
Roberto Torres
84′
Juan Villar 🔁
↦ P. Estupiñán
87′
Juan Villar 🟨
88′
Aridane Hernandez 🟨
90′
Fran Mérida 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-4-2
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 Facundo Roncaglia D
23 Aridane Hernandez D
5 David García D
30 Pervis Estupinan D
10 Roberto Torres M
6 Oier M
20 Darko Brašanac M
14 Rubén García M
22 Adrián López F
9 Chimy Ávila F
Bench (7)
37 Iñaki Álvarez
3 Raúl Navas
8 Fran Mérida
17 Robert Ibáñez
27 Jon Moncayola
11 Brandon
18 Juan Villar

Coach: Arrasate

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
5 Igor Zubeldia D
3 Diego Llorente D
20 Nacho Monreal D
16 Ander Guevara M
7 Portu M
21 Martin Ødegaard M
8 Mikel Merino M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
9 Willian José F
Bench (7)
13 Miguel Ángel Moyà
18 Andoni Gorosabel
24 Robin Le Normand
11 Adnan Januzaj
14 Rubén Pardo
22 Ander Barrenetxea
19 Alexander Isak

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
U
3,29
B ✓
2,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.