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Bundesliga

Referee: B Cortus

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T U T T T

2–1

Full-time

Union Berlin

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

3,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-2,5

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 29%

19%

38%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

69%

44%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

22 Shots 17

8 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 17. · Union Berlin 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	17	11	4	2	+28	37
2	M'gladbach	17	11	2	4	+15	35
3	Bayern Munich	17	10	3	4	+24	33
4	Dortmund	17	8	6	3	+17	30
5	Schalke 04	17	8	6	3	+8	30
6	Leverkusen	17	8	4	5	+2	28
7	Hoffenheim	17	8	3	6	-3	27
8	Freiburg	17	7	5	5	+4	26
9	Wolfsburg	17	6	6	5	+0	24
10	Augsburg	17	6	5	6	-3	23
11	Union Berlin	16	6	2	8	-3	20
12	Hertha	17	5	4	8	-7	19
13	Ein Frankfurt	16	5	3	8	-1	18
14	Mainz	17	6	0	11	-14	18
15	FC Koln	17	5	2	10	-13	17
16	Werder Bremen	17	3	5	9	-18	14
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	3	3	10	-19	12
18	Paderborn	16	2	3	11	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Bayern Munich	9	6	1	2	+19	19
3	Dortmund	8	5	3	0	+17	18
4	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+14	17
5	Schalke 04	9	4	4	1	+3	16
6	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Union Berlin	9	5	0	4	+1	15
8	Augsburg	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Freiburg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	Leverkusen	9	3	4	2	+2	13
11	Wolfsburg	9	3	4	2	+0	13
12	Hoffenheim	9	4	1	4	-5	13
13	FC Koln	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Hertha	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Mainz	8	3	0	5	-5	9
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	1	4	-7	7
17	Werder Bremen	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Paderborn	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Leverkusen	8	5	0	3	+0	15
3	Bayern Munich	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Schalke 04	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Hoffenheim	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	M'gladbach	8	4	1	3	+3	13
7	Freiburg	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Dortmund	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Wolfsburg	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Hertha	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Werder Bremen	9	2	3	4	-7	9
12	Augsburg	9	2	3	4	-8	9
13	Mainz	9	3	0	6	-9	9
14	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-11	7
15	Union Berlin	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Paderborn	8	1	2	5	-9	5
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Ein Frankfurt	7	1	0	6	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.