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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Real Madrid

S U U U S

2–1

Full-time

Sevilla

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 56%

58%

53%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

47%

26%

Both score Ø 45%

42%

47%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Sevilla 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	12	4	3	+26	40
2	Real Madrid	19	11	7	1	+24	40
3	Ath Madrid	19	9	8	2	+10	35
4	Sevilla	19	10	5	4	+6	35
5	Getafe	20	9	6	5	+9	33
6	Sociedad	19	9	4	6	+8	31
7	Valencia	19	8	7	4	+4	31
8	Ath Bilbao	19	7	8	4	+7	29
9	Villarreal	19	8	4	7	+7	28
10	Granada	19	8	3	8	+0	27
11	Levante	20	8	2	10	-4	26
12	Osasuna	19	5	9	5	+1	24
13	Betis	19	6	6	7	-6	24
14	Alaves	20	6	5	9	-8	23
15	Valladolid	19	4	9	6	-6	21
16	Eibar	19	5	4	10	-11	19
17	Celta	19	3	6	10	-13	15
18	Mallorca	19	4	3	12	-15	15
19	Leganes	20	3	5	12	-17	14
20	Espanol	19	2	5	12	-22	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+24	25
2	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+14	21
3	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+8	21
4	Ath Bilbao	9	6	2	1	+10	20
5	Valencia	10	5	5	0	+7	20
6	Granada	10	6	1	3	+6	19
7	Getafe	10	5	3	2	+7	18
8	Levante	10	5	2	3	+4	17
9	Betis	10	5	2	3	+3	17
10	Villarreal	9	4	4	1	+8	16
11	Alaves	10	4	4	2	+6	16
12	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
13	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+7	14
14	Mallorca	10	4	2	4	+0	14
15	Osasuna	9	3	4	2	+3	13
16	Valladolid	9	2	6	1	+4	12
17	Eibar	9	4	0	5	-4	12
18	Celta	10	2	4	4	-4	10
19	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-7	10
20	Espanol	10	0	3	7	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	10	6	2	2	+3	20
2	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Sociedad	10	5	2	3	+1	17
4	Barcelona	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Getafe	10	4	3	3	+2	15
6	Ath Madrid	9	3	5	1	+2	14
7	Villarreal	10	4	0	6	-1	12
8	Osasuna	10	2	5	3	-2	11
9	Valencia	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Ath Bilbao	10	1	6	3	-3	9
11	Levante	10	3	0	7	-8	9
12	Valladolid	10	2	3	5	-10	9
13	Granada	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Espanol	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-7	7
16	Betis	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	10	2	1	7	-14	7
18	Celta	9	1	2	6	-9	5
19	Leganes	9	0	4	5	-10	4
20	Mallorca	9	0	1	8	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.