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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Leganes

U T T S U

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 27%

17%

37%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

40%

46%

Both score Ø 53%

46%

60%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

10 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 19. · Valencia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	35	24	8	3	+43	80
2	Barcelona	36	24	7	5	+44	79
3	Ath Madrid	36	17	15	4	+22	66
4	Sevilla	35	17	12	6	+17	63
5	Villarreal	35	17	6	12	+12	57
6	Getafe	35	14	11	10	+9	53
7	Ath Bilbao	36	13	12	11	+9	51
8	Sociedad	35	15	6	14	+7	51
9	Granada	35	14	8	13	+3	50
10	Valencia	35	13	11	11	-6	50
11	Osasuna	36	12	12	12	-9	48
12	Levante	36	12	7	17	-8	43
13	Betis	36	10	11	15	-9	41
14	Valladolid	36	8	15	13	-11	39
15	Eibar	36	10	9	17	-15	39
16	Celta	36	7	15	14	-11	36
17	Alaves	35	9	8	18	-21	35
18	Mallorca	35	9	5	21	-22	32
19	Leganes	35	6	11	18	-24	29
20	Espanol	36	5	9	22	-30	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	16	2	0	+37	50
2	Real Madrid	18	14	4	0	+28	46
3	Ath Madrid	18	12	5	1	+17	41
4	Valencia	18	10	7	1	+12	37
5	Sevilla	17	8	7	2	+9	31
6	Ath Bilbao	18	9	4	5	+9	31
7	Betis	18	9	4	5	+8	31
8	Sociedad	18	9	3	6	+13	30
9	Getafe	18	8	6	4	+7	30
10	Granada	17	9	3	5	+7	30
11	Villarreal	17	8	5	4	+9	29
12	Levante	18	8	5	5	+7	29
13	Mallorca	18	8	3	7	+4	27
14	Osasuna	18	7	6	5	-3	27
15	Alaves	17	7	5	5	+6	26
16	Eibar	18	7	3	8	-2	24
17	Celta	18	5	8	5	+3	23
18	Valladolid	18	4	10	4	+1	22
19	Leganes	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	Espanol	18	2	5	11	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	10	4	3	+15	34
2	Sevilla	18	9	5	4	+8	32
3	Barcelona	18	8	5	5	+7	29
4	Villarreal	18	9	1	8	+3	28
5	Ath Madrid	18	5	10	3	+5	25
6	Getafe	17	6	5	6	+2	23
7	Sociedad	17	6	3	8	-6	21
8	Osasuna	18	5	6	7	-6	21
9	Ath Bilbao	18	4	8	6	+0	20
10	Granada	18	5	5	8	-4	20
11	Valladolid	18	4	5	9	-12	17
12	Eibar	18	3	6	9	-13	15
13	Levante	18	4	2	12	-15	14
14	Celta	18	2	7	9	-14	13
15	Espanol	18	3	4	11	-14	13
16	Leganes	18	2	7	9	-14	13
17	Valencia	17	3	4	10	-18	13
18	Betis	18	1	7	10	-17	10
19	Alaves	18	2	3	13	-27	9
20	Mallorca	17	1	2	14	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.