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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Thun
S T S T T
3–0
Full-time
Xamax
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Xamax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 19%
24%
14%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
62%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
52%
69%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Thun 9. · Xamax 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 17 7 6 +27 58
2 St. Gallen 29 18 4 7 +20 58
3 Basel 30 16 4 10 +27 52
4 Servette 29 11 11 7 +15 44
5 Zurich 29 12 6 11 -12 42
6 Luzern 29 12 5 12 -3 41
7 Lugano 29 8 10 11 -4 34
8 Sion 29 7 6 16 -18 27
9 Thun 29 7 4 18 -30 25
10 Xamax 29 4 11 14 -22 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Thun Xamax
N. Hefti 🟨
2′
1–0 R. Munsy
K. Fatkic
14′
2–0 G. Karlen
B. Stillhart
32′
44′
🟨 I. Djuric
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 L. Mulaj
↦ T. Sulejmanov
46′
🔁 F. Mveng
↦ X. Kouassi
46′
🔁 M. Haile-Selassie
↦ L. Seydoux
K. Fatkic 🟨
52′
S. Rapp 🔁
↦ R. Munsy
69′
M. Castroman 🔁
↦ M. Tosetti
74′
81′
🔁 T. Corbaz
↦ R. Nuzzolo
S. Glarner 🔁
↦ K. Fatkic
89′
3–0 G. Karlen
L. Bertone
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Thun

4-3-3
1 G. Faivre G
28 N. Hasler M
5 N. Havenaar D
20 C. Kablan D
11 M. Tosetti F
8 G. Karlen F
16 L. Bertone M
10 B. Stillhart D
6 K. Fatkic M
29 N. Hefti D
9 R. Munsy F
Bench (7)
13 S. Rapp
7 M. Castroman
31 S. Glarner
30 A. Hirzel
39 S. Joss
24 M. Breitenmoser
21 U. Vasic

Coach: M. Schneider

Xamax

3-5-2
30 L. Walthert G
55 I. Đurić D
23 M. Gomes D
4 André Luís D
37 L. Abanda M
16 L. Seydoux M
36 X. Kouassi M
20 M. Araz M
8 S. Ramizi M
17 T. Sulejmanov F
14 R. Nuzzolo F
Bench (7)
28 L. Mulaj
88 F. Mveng
19 M. Haile-Selassie
7 T. Corbaz
3 J. Kamber
32 M. Minder
27 A. Xhemajli

Coach: S. Henchoz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.