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Super League

Referee: A Diamantopoulos

Panathinaikos

U S S U U

1–3

Full-time

AEK

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,2

3,5

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Super League · 36/37 matches

Win Ø 48%

39%

57%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

31%

46%

Both score Ø 41%

33%

49%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

49% Possession 51%

8 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	37	30	7	0	+61	97
2	AEK	37	21	10	6	+32	73
3	PAOK	36	21	9	6	+28	72
4	Panathinaikos	36	14	14	8	+9	56
5	Atromitos	34	12	9	13	-1	45
6	Asteras Tripolis	34	11	10	13	+1	43
7	Aris Thessalonikis	34	10	11	13	-2	41
8	Aris	34	10	11	13	-2	41
9	OFI Crete	38	11	7	20	-11	40
10	Larisa	34	9	12	13	-9	39
11	Lamia	34	6	18	10	-13	36
12	Xanthi	34	9	8	17	-15	35
13	Volos NFC	34	9	7	18	-29	34
14	Panetolikos	34	6	11	17	-19	29
15	Panionios	34	7	8	19	-30	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	18	17	1	0	+37	52
2	AEK	19	10	7	2	+19	37
3	PAOK	18	11	4	3	+18	37
4	Panathinaikos	18	10	5	3	+17	35
5	OFI Crete	19	9	4	6	+11	31
6	Asteras Tripolis	17	7	7	3	+11	28
7	Aris Thessalonikis	17	8	2	7	+7	26
8	Aris	17	8	2	7	+7	26
9	Atromitos	17	6	7	4	+8	25
10	Volos NFC	17	7	4	6	-2	25
11	Larisa	17	6	5	6	+3	23
12	Lamia	18	4	11	3	-1	23
13	Panetolikos	16	5	6	5	+1	21
14	Xanthi	17	5	6	6	+0	21
15	Panionios	17	5	5	7	-2	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	13	6	0	+24	45
2	AEK	18	11	3	4	+13	36
3	PAOK	18	10	5	3	+10	35
4	Panathinaikos	18	4	9	5	-8	21
5	Atromitos	17	6	2	9	-9	20
6	Larisa	17	3	7	7	-12	16
7	Aris Thessalonikis	17	2	9	6	-9	15
8	Aris	17	2	9	6	-9	15
9	Asteras Tripolis	17	4	3	10	-10	15
10	Xanthi	17	4	2	11	-15	14
11	Lamia	16	2	7	7	-12	13
12	OFI Crete	19	2	3	14	-22	9
13	Volos NFC	17	2	3	12	-27	9
14	Panionios	17	2	3	12	-28	9
15	Panetolikos	18	1	5	12	-20	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.