La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sevilla
Mallorca
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
35 | 24 | 8 | 3 | +43 | 80 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 79 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
36 | 17 | 15 | 4 | +22 | 66 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | +17 | 63 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | +12 | 57 |
| 6 |
Getafe
|
35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | +9 | 53 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | +9 | 51 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | +7 | 51 |
| 9 |
Granada
|
35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | +3 | 50 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | -7 | 50 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | -9 | 48 |
| 12 |
Levante
|
36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | -8 | 43 |
| 13 |
Betis
|
36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 |
Valladolid
|
36 | 8 | 15 | 13 | -11 | 39 |
| 15 |
Eibar
|
36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | -15 | 39 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | -21 | 35 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
35 | 9 | 5 | 21 | -22 | 32 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | -30 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Jules Koundé
D
Diego Carlos
D
Munir El Haddadi
F
Coach: Lopetegui
Raillo
D
Fran Gámez
D
Dani Rodriguez
M
Takefusa Kubo
F
Ante Budimir
F
Cucho Hernández
F
Coach: Vicente Moreno
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Sevilla
Sevilla
Eibar
Leganes
Sevilla
Sevilla
Valladolid
Villarreal
Sevilla
Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.