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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Valencia
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Leganes
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 16. · Leganes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 5 3 1 1 +6 10
2 Sevilla 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Ath Madrid 5 3 1 1 +1 10
5 Villarreal 5 2 2 1 +4 8
6 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 +3 8
8 Barcelona 5 2 1 2 +3 7
9 Levante 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Osasuna 5 1 4 0 +1 7
11 Getafe 5 1 3 1 +1 6
12 Alaves 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Betis 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Valladolid 5 1 2 2 -3 5
15 Celta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Valencia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Mallorca 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -6 4
19 Eibar 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Leganes 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Leganes
1–0 Dani Parejo
21′
23′
🟨 Recio
35′
Óscar Rodríguez 1–1
G. Carrillo
41′
🟨 Dimitrios Siovas
Half-time 1–1
Jaume Costa 🔁
↦ Gayà
56′
57′
🔁 C. Awaziem
↦ Aitor Ruibal
Geoffrey Kondogbia 🟨
59′
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ M. Gómez
59′
73′
🔁 Kévin Rodrigues
↦ D. Siovas
79′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ G. Carrillo
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ F. Coquelin
83′
Ferrán Torres 🟨
85′
86′
🟨 Juan Soriano
88′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
Gabriel Paulista 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-4-2
13 Jasper Cillessen G
18 Daniel Wass D
24 Ezequiel Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Luis Gayà D
17 Francis Coquelin M
6 Geoffrey Kondogbia M
10 Dani Parejo M
7 Gonçalo Guedes M
19 Rodrigo F
22 Maximiliano Gómez F
Bench (7)
1 Jaume Doménech
3 Jaume Costa
12 Mouctar Diakhaby
11 Denis Cheryshev
16 Kang-in Lee
20 Ferrán Torres
9 Kévin Gameiro

Coach: Celades

Leganes

3-1-4-2
13 Juan Soriano G
3 Unai Bustinza D
4 Kenneth Omeruo D
22 Dimitrios Siovas D
21 Rubén Pérez M
19 Aitor Ruibal M
27 Óscar Rodríguez M
8 Recio M
5 Jonathan Silva M
18 Guido Carrillo F
7 Martin Braithwaite F
Bench (7)
30 André Felipe Grandi
24 Kevin Rodrigues
12 Chidozie Awaziem
17 Javier Eraso
6 Roque Mesa
10 José Manuel Arnáiz
26 Youssef En-Nesyri

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,59
U ✓
3,90
B
6,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.