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Premier League
Referee: A Taylor
Leeds
U T T U T
1–4
Full-time
Tottenham
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,3
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 33%
19%
46%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 65%
68%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,50 xG 2,17
52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 7
10 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 19. · Tottenham 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 37 28 5 4 +62 +23.8 89
2 Arsenal 37 25 6 6 +40 +10.4 81
3 Man United 37 22 6 9 +14 +8.9 72
4 Newcastle 37 19 13 5 +35 +19.2 70
5 Liverpool 37 19 9 9 +28 +13.3 66
6 Brighton 37 18 8 11 +20 +20.2 62
7 Aston Villa 37 17 7 13 +4 -0.9 58
8 Tottenham 37 17 6 14 +4 +0.1 57
9 Brentford 37 14 14 9 +11 +5.0 56
10 Fulham 37 15 7 15 +3 -9.3 52
11 Crystal Palace 37 11 11 15 -9 -2.8 44
12 Chelsea 37 11 10 16 -9 -0.9 43
13 Wolves 37 11 8 18 -22 -13.0 41
14 West Ham 37 11 7 19 -12 -6.0 40
15 Bournemouth 37 11 6 20 -33 -7.5 39
16 Nott'm Forest 37 9 10 18 -30 -16.3 37
17 Everton 37 7 12 18 -24 -10.0 33
18 Leicester 37 8 7 22 -18 -5.4 31
19 Leeds 37 7 10 20 -27 -13.4 31
20 Southampton 37 6 6 25 -37 -15.4 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Tottenham
2′
H. Kane 0–1
Son Heung-Min
Pascal Struijk 🟨
9′
Maximilian Wöber 🟨
14′
Half-time 0–2
47′
Pedro Porro 0–2
Liam Cooper 🟨
56′
Junior Firpo 🔁
↦ M. Wöber
59′
B. Aaronson 🔁
↦ P. Struijk
59′
G. Rutter 🔁
↦ W. McKennie
60′
67′
🔁 P. Sarr
↦ D. Kulusevski
1–2 J. Harrison
G. Rutter
67′
69′
H. Kane 1–3
Pedro Porro
76′
🔁 Richarlison
↦ Son Heung-Min
77′
🔁 M. Craig
↦ Y. Bissouma
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ J. Harrison
88′
91′
🔁 G. Abbott
↦ O. Skipp
91′
🔁 Lucas Moura
↦ Pedro Porro
95′
Lucas Moura 1–4
P. Sarr
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Leeds

5-4-1
22 Joel Robles G
2 L. Ayling D
25 R. Kristensen D
6 L. Cooper D
39 M. Wöber D
21 P. Struijk D
28 W. McKennie M
4 A. Forshaw M
5 R. Koch M
11 J. Harrison M
19 Rodrigo F
Bench (9)
3 Junior Firpo
7 B. Aaronson
24 G. Rutter
29 W. Gnonto
10 C. Summerville
1 I. Meslier
42 S. Greenwood
62 J. Chilokoa-Mullen
8 Marc Roca

Coach: S. Allardyce

Tottenham

4-4-2
20 F. Forster G
12 Emerson D
6 D. Sánchez D
34 C. Lenglet D
33 B. Davies D
23 Pedro Porro M
38 Y. Bissouma M
4 O. Skipp M
7 Son Heung-Min M
21 D. Kulusevski F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
29 P. Sarr
9 Richarlison
51 M. Craig
77 G. Abbott
27 Lucas Moura
16 A. Danjuma
40 B. Austin
58 Yago Alonso
25 J. Tanganga

Coach: R. Mason

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,84
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.