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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
SK Rapid
T U T T U
3–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 50%
37%
63%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
53%
Both score Ø 62%
63%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 7
17 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 6. · Sturm Graz 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 30 22 7 1 +44 73
2 Sturm Graz 30 19 6 5 +27 63
3 LASK 30 13 12 5 +16 51
4 Austria Vienna 30 11 9 10 +5 42
5 A. Lustenau 31 10 10 11 -8 40
6 SK Rapid 30 11 6 13 +3 39
7 Wolfsberger AC 31 11 6 14 -1 39
8 Tirol 31 10 7 14 -9 37
9 A. Klagenfurt 30 10 5 15 -18 35
10 Hartberg 31 9 6 16 -13 33
11 Altach 31 6 9 16 -24 27
12 Ried 31 4 11 16 -22 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
10′
M. Sarkaria 0–1
O. Kiteishvili
33′
O. Kiteishvili 0–2
M. Sarkaria
1–2 G. Burgstaller
40′
44′
🟨 Emanuel Emegha
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 A. Danté
↦ D. Schnegg
2–2 R. Kerschbaum
M. Grüll
49′
59′
🟨 Jusuf Gazibegović
3–2 M. Grüll
G. Burgstaller
66′
67′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ A. Prass
Thorsten Schick 🟨
71′
77′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ R. Kerschbaum
77′
77′
🔁 N. Geyrhofer
↦ D. Affengruber
77′
🔁 J. Jantscher
↦ S. Hierländer
A. Bajić 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
84′
P. Greil 🔁
↦ M. Oswald
84′
M. Koscelník 🔁
↦ T. Schick
84′
O. Strunz 🔁
↦ M. Grüll
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
13 T. Schick D
19 M. Sollbauer D
6 K. Wimmer D
23 J. Auer D
14 A. Pejić M
28 M. Oswald M
7 N. Kühn M
5 R. Kerschbaum M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
38 F. Druijf
29 A. Bajić
24 P. Greil
22 M. Koscelník
18 O. Strunz
26 M. Moormann
25 P. Gartler

Coach: Z. Barišić

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 A. Okonkwo G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 E. Emegha F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (7)
44 A. Danté
19 T. Horvat
35 N. Geyrhofer
13 J. Jantscher
38 L. Grgic
27 J. Siebenhandl
15 W. Bøving

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.