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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Regensburg
U T T T S
2–3
Full-time
Heidenheim
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Heidenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 40%
24%
55%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
55%
Both score Ø 42%
39%
45%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 11
0 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 11
6 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 17. · Heidenheim 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 33 20 7 6 +21 67
2 Heidenheim 33 18 10 5 +30 64
3 Hamburg 33 19 6 8 +24 63
4 St Pauli 33 16 9 8 +16 57
5 Paderborn 33 16 7 10 +25 55
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 16 7 10 +14 55
7 Karlsruhe 33 13 6 14 +3 45
8 Kaiserslautern 33 11 12 10 +2 45
9 Hannover 33 12 8 13 -1 44
10 Holstein Kiel 33 11 10 12 -7 43
11 Magdeburg 33 11 7 15 -11 40
12 Greuther Furth 33 9 11 13 -7 38
13 Hansa Rostock 33 11 5 17 -17 38
14 Braunschweig 33 9 9 15 -16 36
15 Nurnberg 33 9 9 15 -18 36
16 Bielefeld 33 9 7 17 -8 34
17 Regensburg 33 8 7 18 -23 31
18 Sandhausen 33 7 7 19 -27 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Heidenheim
35′
🔁 K. Sessa
↦ F. Pick
Benedikt Saller 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Schimmer
↦ J. Schöppner
1–0 P. Owusu
K. Faber
51′
55′
🔁 N. Theuerkauf
↦ L. Maloney
2–0 P. Owusu
B. Saller
56′
58′
B. Saller 3–0
own goal
Prince-Osei Owusu 🟨
63′
N. Shipnoski 🔁
↦ K. Faber
65′
J. Mees 🔁
↦ P. Owusu
72′
J. Elvedi 🔁
↦ M. Thalhammer
72′
78′
🔁 A. Beck
↦ D. Thomalla
Aygün Yıldırım 🟨
79′
S. Nachreiner 🔁
↦ B. Saller
79′
J. Graf 🔁
↦ A. Yildirim
79′
Joshua Mees 🟨
82′
Steve Breitkreuz 🟨
86′
93′
J. Beste 3–1
99′
T. Kleindienst 3–2
P. Mainka
Jan Elvedi 🟥
VAR: Red card cancelled
102′
Jan Elvedi 🟨
103′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Regensburg

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
6 B. Saller D
23 S. Breitkreuz D
24 S. Kennedy D
20 L. Guwara D
5 B. Gimber M
8 M. Thalhammer M
11 K. Faber M
19 A. Albers M
18 A. Yildirim M
9 P. Owusu F
Bench (9)
7 N. Shipnoski
29 J. Mees
33 J. Elvedi
28 S. Nachreiner
39 J. Graf
16 O. Schönfelder
14 B. Idrizi
21 T. Kirschbaum
15 S. Singh

Coach: J. Enochs

Heidenheim

4-2-3-1
1 K. Müller G
2 M. Busch D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
19 J. Föhrenbach D
3 J. Schöppner M
33 L. Maloney M
17 F. Pick M
11 D. Thomalla M
37 J. Beste M
10 T. Kleindienst F
Bench (9)
16 K. Sessa
9 S. Schimmer
30 N. Theuerkauf
21 A. Beck
20 D. Burnić
8 A. Geipl
24 C. Kühlwetter
27 T. Keller
22 V. Eicher

Coach: F. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,88
U
4,46
B ✓
1,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.