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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Sp Gijon
T S T U U
1–4
Full-time
Ponferradina
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 24%
27%
20%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
32%
41%
Both score Ø 49%
46%
51%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 17. · Ponferradina 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 42 22 9 11 +25 75
2 Las Palmas 42 18 18 6 +20 72
3 Levante 42 18 18 6 +16 72
4 Alaves 42 19 14 9 +14 71
5 Eibar 42 19 14 9 +9 71
6 Albacete 42 17 16 9 +11 67
7 Andorra 42 16 11 15 +10 59
8 Oviedo 42 16 11 15 -1 59
9 Cartagena 41 16 10 15 +0 58
10 Tenerife 42 14 15 13 +5 57
11 Burgos 42 13 15 14 -2 54
12 Zaragoza 42 12 17 13 +1 53
13 Leganes 42 14 11 17 -5 53
14 Huesca 42 11 19 12 +0 52
15 Mirandes 42 13 13 16 -6 52
16 Santander 41 13 12 16 -3 51
17 Sp Gijon 41 11 17 13 -2 50
18 Villarreal B 42 13 11 18 -6 50
19 Malaga 42 10 14 18 -7 44
20 Ponferradina 41 8 17 16 -16 41
21 Ibiza 42 7 13 22 -33 34
22 Lugo 42 6 13 23 -30 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Ponferradina
12′
L. Miguel 1–0
own goal
18′
🔁 Adrián Castellano
↦ S. Chakla
Half-time 1–0
Guille Rosas 🔁
↦ L. Miguel
46′
J. Otero 🔁
↦ Dani Queipo
46′
G. De Amores 🔁
↦ Iván Cuéllar
49′
2–0 J. Otero
Cote
55′
57′
Naim García 2–1
K. Nwakali
70′
Yuri 2–2
Naim García
I. Jeraldino 🔁
↦ Pedro Díaz
71′
74′
🔁 Derik Lacerda
↦ Heriberto Tavares
Nacho Martín 🔁
↦ Aitor García
79′
82′
Adrián Castellano 2–3
K. Nwakali
Ignacio Jeraldino 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Moises Delgado
91′
🔁 Paris Adot
↦ Moi Delgado
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-3-3
1 Iván Cuéllar G
43 L. Miguel D
5 Bruno D
6 José Marsà D
3 Cote D
8 Pedro Díaz M
37 J. Varane M
20 J. Carrillo M
7 Aitor García F
23 U. Đurđević F
16 Dani Queipo F
Bench (12)
2 Guille Rosas
19 J. Otero
13 G. De Amores
14 I. Jeraldino
33 Nacho Martín
17 Christian Rivera
41 Alejandro Lozano
12 Cristo González
29 Jordi Pola
32 Diego Sánchez
26 F. Bloch
21 U. Milovanović

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Ponferradina

5-3-2
13 Miguel San Román G
21 Ale Díez D
6 S. Chakla D
5 José Amo D
3 Adrián Diéguez D
16 Moi Delgado D
34 Naim García M
18 Erik Morán M
11 K. Nwakali M
10 Yuri F
17 Heriberto Tavares F
Bench (11)
15 Adrián Castellano
23 Derik Lacerda
22 Paris Adot
29 Álex Baño
31 N. Fedotov
19 Edu Espiau
20 José Naranjo
26 Ibrahim Covi
24 S. Abdulai
30 Hugo Vallejo
28 Juan Klein

Coach: Juanfran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U
3,42
B ✓
3,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.