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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Club Brugge
S T T T S
1–3
Full-time
Genk
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 61%
53%
68%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 52%
41%
62%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,8
2,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 10
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 5. · Genk 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 35 25 6 4 +33 81
2 Antwerp 35 25 5 5 +39 80
3 Genk 34 23 7 4 +45 76
4 Gent 35 21 6 8 +42 69
5 Club Brugge 34 18 7 9 +28 61
6 Cercle Brugge 35 15 12 8 +12 57
7 Charleroi 35 16 6 13 +2 54
8 Anderlecht 35 15 7 13 +11 52
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 9 13 +12 51
10 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
11 Westerlo 35 12 11 12 +3 47
12 Standard 34 13 7 14 -4 46
13 Mechelen 35 11 7 17 -18 40
14 Kortrijk 36 10 7 19 -22 37
15 Waregem 36 7 10 19 -26 31
16 Eupen 36 8 7 21 -36 31
17 Oostende 36 7 7 22 -40 28
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Genk
12′
J. Paintsil 0–1
T. Arokodare
Denis Odoi 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–1
T. Buchanan 🔁
↦ B. Meijer
46′
46′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ T. Arokodare
61′
🔁 B. El Khannouss
↦ Y. Sor
1–1 H. Vanaken
M. Rits
64′
72′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ B. Heynen
81′
P. Hrošovský 1–2
C. Talbi 🔁
↦ A. Nusa
83′
83′
🔁 A. Preciado
↦ M. Trésor
86′
J. Paintsil 1–3
B. El Khannouss
S. Homma 🔁
↦ R. Onyedika
89′
C. Sandra 🔁
↦ R. Vermant
89′
94′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
Mats Rits ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
97′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
6 D. Odoi D
5 J. Hendry D
44 B. Mechele D
14 B. Meijer D
27 C. Nielsen M
15 R. Onyedika M
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
32 A. Nusa M
76 R. Vermant F
Bench (7)
17 T. Buchanan
68 C. Talbi
62 S. Homma
98 C. Sandra
64 K. Sabbe
19 K. Sowah
33 N. Shinton

Coach: R. De Mil

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
8 B. Heynen M
17 P. Hrošovský M
28 J. Paintsil M
11 M. Trésor M
14 Y. Sor M
99 T. Arokodare F
Bench (7)
7 M. Samatta
34 B. El Khannouss
4 A. Ouattara
77 A. Preciado
40 T. Leysen
19 A. Ait El Hadj
24 L. Oyen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U
4,10
B ✓
4,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.