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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Villarreal
S U T S S
2–2
Full-time
Granada
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
39%
Both score Ø 53%
61%
44%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
9 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Villarreal 5. · Granada 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 16 13 2 1 +25 41
2 Real Madrid 18 11 4 3 +15 37
3 Barcelona 18 10 4 4 +20 34
4 Sevilla 18 10 3 5 +7 33
5 Villarreal 18 8 8 2 +9 32
6 Sociedad 19 8 6 5 +13 30
7 Granada 18 8 3 7 -8 27
8 Betis 19 8 2 9 -8 26
9 Cadiz 19 6 6 7 -7 24
10 Getafe 18 6 5 7 -2 23
11 Celta 19 6 5 8 -7 23
12 Levante 18 5 7 6 -1 22
13 Ath Bilbao 18 6 3 9 -1 21
14 Valencia 18 4 7 7 -1 19
15 Eibar 18 4 7 7 -3 19
16 Valladolid 19 4 7 8 -9 19
17 Alaves 19 4 6 9 -8 18
18 Elche 17 3 8 6 -7 17
19 Osasuna 18 3 6 9 -12 15
20 Huesca 19 1 9 9 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Granada
15′
🟨 Luis Milla
21′
Soldado 0–1
Germán Sánchez
1–1 Rubén Peña
Manu Trigueros
29′
35′
🟨 Yangel Herrera
Half-time 1–1
55′
🔁 Kenedy
↦ L. Suárez
C. Bacca 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
59′
Alfonso Pedraza ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
64′
2–1 Moi Gómez
65′
75′
Kenedy 2–2
Y. Herrera
78′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ Soldado
Manu Trigueros 🟨
79′
79′
🔁 Y. Eteki
↦ Montoro
Yeremi Pino 🔁
↦ Manu Trigueros
80′
Paco Alcácer 🔁
↦ Moi Gómez
88′
F. Coquelin 🔁
↦ E. Capoue
88′
Francis Coquelin 🟨
90′
Yéremi Pino ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
90′
90′
🟨 Domingos Duarte
90′
🟨 Darwin Machís
90′
🟥 Yan Brice
93′
🔁 Vallejo
↦ Luis Milla
94′
🔁 Antonio Puertas
↦ D. Machís
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-3
1 Asenjo G
3 Albiol D
4 Pau Torres D
8 J. Foyth D
25 E. Capoue M
5 Dani Parejo M
23 Moi Gómez F
14 Manu Trigueros M
20 Rubén Peña F
24 Pedraza D
34 Fer Niño F
Bench (10)
9 C. Bacca
30 Yeremi Pino
17 Paco Alcácer
19 F. Coquelin
12 Dani Raba
21 Jaume Costa
15 P. Estupiñán
32 Álex Baena
6 Ramiro Funes Mori
13 G. Rulli

Coach: Unai Emery

Granada

4-1-4-1
1 Rui Silva G
6 Germán Sánchez D
2 D. Foulquier D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 Carlos Neva D
19 Montoro M
5 Luis Milla M
21 Y. Herrera M
9 Soldado F
11 D. Machís M
7 L. Suárez M
Bench (12)
24 Kenedy
23 Jorge Molina
8 Y. Eteki
20 Vallejo
10 Antonio Puertas
16 Víctor Díaz
35 Andorinha
28 Pepe Sánchez
14 Fede Vico
3 N. Pérez
26 Alberto Soro
31 Arnau Fàbrega

Coach: Diego Martínez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U ✓
4,06
B
6,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.