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Bundesliga
Referee: G Winkmann
Freiburg
S S S S T
2–2
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,8
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
63%
56%
Both score Ø 75%
69%
81%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 9. · Ein Frankfurt 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 11 3 2 +23 36
2 Leverkusen 17 9 5 3 +15 32
3 RB Leipzig 16 9 5 2 +14 32
4 Dortmund 17 9 2 6 +11 29
5 Wolfsburg 17 7 8 2 +7 29
6 Union Berlin 16 7 7 2 +12 28
7 M'gladbach 17 7 7 3 +5 28
8 Ein Frankfurt 16 6 8 2 +4 26
9 Freiburg 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Stuttgart 16 5 7 4 +8 22
11 Hoffenheim 17 5 4 8 -5 19
12 Augsburg 16 5 4 7 -8 19
13 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 -6 18
14 Hertha 17 4 5 8 -5 17
15 FC Koln 17 3 6 8 -13 15
16 Bielefeld 16 4 2 10 -14 14
17 Mainz 17 1 4 12 -21 7
18 Schalke 04 17 1 4 12 -30 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Freiburg Ein Frankfurt
6′
A. Younes 0–1
D. Sow
1–1 R. Sallai
E. Demirović
32′
39′
🟨 Aymen Barkok
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. Kamada
↦ A. Barkok
Lucas Höler 🟨
53′
N. Petersen 🔁
↦ L. Höler
58′
Jeong Woo-Yeong 🔁
↦ R. Sallai
58′
2–1 N. Petersen
63′
Ermedin Demirović 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Tuta
66′
🔁 L. Jović
↦ M. Hasebe
Y. Keitel 🔁
↦ J. Haberer
75′
75′
K. Schlotterbeck 3–1
own goal
80′
🔁 T. Chandler
↦ A. Touré
85′
🔁 A. Hrustic
↦ A. Younes
D. Heintz 🔁
↦ E. Demirović
86′
L. Tempelmann 🔁
↦ L. Kübler
86′
Manuel Gulde 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Luka Jović
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-4-2
21 F. Müller G
5 M. Gulde D
17 L. Kübler D
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart M
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
19 J. Haberer M
32 V. Grifo M
22 R. Sallai M
9 L. Höler F
11 E. Demirović F
Bench (9)
18 N. Petersen
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong
36 Y. Keitel
23 D. Heintz
34 L. Tempelmann
43 K. Sildillia
14 G. Til
45 N. Burkart
1 B. Uphoff

Coach: C. Streich

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
20 M. Hasebe M
13 M. Hinteregger D
18 A. Touré M
2 O. N'Dicka D
35 Tuta D
10 F. Kostić M
8 D. Sow M
27 A. Barkok F
32 A. Younes F
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
15 D. Kamada
9 L. Jović
22 T. Chandler
7 A. Hrustic
24 D. da Costa
3 S. Ilsanker
11 S. Zuber
23 M. Schubert
25 E. Durm

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U ✓
3,47
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Winkmann · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.