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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Marseille

U T S U T

0–1

Full-time

Lens

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 46%

50%

42%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

44%

53%

Both score Ø 63%

67%

58%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

4 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 9

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 6. · Lens 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	13	3	4	+33	42
2	Lille	20	12	6	2	+20	42
3	Lyon	20	11	7	2	+20	40
4	Monaco	20	11	3	6	+10	36
5	Rennes	20	10	6	4	+8	36
6	Marseille	18	9	5	4	+8	32
7	Angers	20	9	3	8	-6	30
8	Bordeaux	20	8	5	7	+2	29
9	Metz	20	7	7	6	+3	28
10	Lens	19	8	4	7	+0	28
11	Montpellier	20	8	4	8	-2	28
12	Brest	20	8	2	10	-5	26
13	Strasbourg	20	7	2	11	-3	23
14	Nice	19	6	5	8	-6	23
15	Reims	20	5	6	9	-3	21
16	St Etienne	20	4	7	9	-10	19
17	Nantes	20	3	9	8	-12	18
18	Nimes	20	4	3	13	-25	15
19	Dijon	19	2	8	9	-14	14
20	Lorient	19	3	3	13	-18	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	11	7	3	1	+13	24
2	Paris SG	10	7	1	2	+20	22
3	Lyon	10	6	3	1	+13	21
4	Monaco	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Brest	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Rennes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Marseille	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Metz	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Lens	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Montpellier	11	4	1	6	-4	13
12	Angers	10	4	1	5	-4	13
13	Nantes	10	2	6	2	-4	12
14	Strasbourg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Reims	9	3	2	4	-2	11
16	St Etienne	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Nice	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Lorient	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Dijon	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	6	2	2	+13	20
2	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+7	19
3	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Lille	9	5	3	1	+7	18
5	Marseille	9	5	2	2	+4	17
6	Angers	10	5	2	3	-2	17
7	Nice	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+2	15
9	Monaco	10	5	0	5	+0	15
10	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+0	14
11	Lens	10	4	2	4	-1	14
12	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	4	0	6	-1	12
14	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-11	11
15	Reims	11	2	4	5	-1	10
16	Dijon	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	St Etienne	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Brest	10	2	1	7	-9	7
19	Nantes	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Lorient	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.