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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime
Sociedad
S T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Vallecano
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
4,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-3,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 18. · Vallecano 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Valencia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Mallorca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Betis 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Ath Bilbao 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Granada 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Espanol 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Elche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Vallecano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Vallecano
26′
🟨 Óscar Trejo
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Santi Comesaña
63′
🔁 Isi Palazón
↦ Martín Merquelanz
66′
🟨 Ivan Balliu
1–0 Mikel Oyarzabal
68′
74′
🔁 Bebé
↦ Álvaro García
74′
🔁 P. Ciss
↦ Óscar Valentín
74′
🔁 R. Nteka
↦ Andrés Martín
A. Januzaj 🔁
↦ David Silva
77′
Jon Guridi 🔁
↦ Mikel Merino
81′
Portu 🔁
↦ Barrenetxea
81′
Alexander Isak 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Y. Qasmi
↦ Santi Comesaña
Jon Pacheco 🔁
↦ Aihen Muñoz
88′
Guevara 🔁
↦ A. Isak
88′
Jon Pacheco Dozagarat 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Fran García
Robin Le Normand 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Elustondo D
18 Gorosabel D
24 R. Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
21 David Silva M
8 Mikel Merino M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
19 A. Isak F
22 Barrenetxea M
Bench (9)
11 A. Januzaj
14 Jon Guridi
7 Portu
26 Jon Pacheco
16 Guevara
34 Gaizka Ayesa
2 Zaldúa
25 Jon Bautista
29 Robert Navarro

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu D
24 E. Saveljich D
33 Fran García D
5 Catena D
18 Álvaro García M
23 Óscar Valentín M
6 Santi Comesaña M
8 Ó. Trejo M
17 Martín Merquelanz M
11 Andrés Martín F
Bench (12)
7 Isi Palazón
10 Bebé
21 P. Ciss
9 R. Nteka
14 Y. Qasmi
30 Morro
4 Mario Suárez
27 Iker Recio
28 Jorge Moreno
19 Kévin Rodrigues
32 Mario Hernández
29 Sergio Moreno

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,38
B
7,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.