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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Maritimo

U U T T S

1–1

Full-time

Porto

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,8

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%

5 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 10. · Porto 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Gil Vicente	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Tondela	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Vizela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Arouca	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Famalicao	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Belenenses	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Moreirense	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.