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Premier League

Referee: P Tierney

Arsenal

S S S S T

0–2

Full-time

Chelsea

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,8

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

35% Possession 65%

6 Shots 22

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 11

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 8

5 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 17. · Chelsea 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Man United	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Everton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Man City	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Watford	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Southampton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Man United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Man City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Watford	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.