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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Tondela
T T T S T
0–3
Full-time
Portimonense
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,2
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tondela 7. · Portimonense 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Porto 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Sp Braga 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Estoril 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Tondela 2 1 0 1 +2 3
8 Boavista 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Portimonense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Pacos Ferreira 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Vizela 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Arouca 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Guimaraes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Moreirense 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Santa Clara 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Famalicao 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Belenenses 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tondela Portimonense
4′
🟨 Willyan Rocha
Daniel dos Anjos 🟨
11′
João Pedro 🟨
17′
35′
Beto 0–1
Willyan
44′
ℹ️ Lucas Fernandes
VAR: Penalty awarded
Half-time 0–2
46′
Aylton Boa Morte 0–2
48′
🟨 Lucas Possignolo
59′
🔁 Pedro Sá
↦ Carlinhos
60′
🟨 Lucas Fernandes
Iker Undabarrena 🔁
↦ Tiago Dantas
63′
Ricardo Alves 🔁
↦ Eduardo Quaresma
63′
Neto Borges 🔁
↦ N. Khacef
74′
Telmo Arcanjo 🔁
↦ J. Murillo
74′
77′
🔁 Luquinhas
↦ Anderson Oliveira
77′
🔁 Filipe Relvas
↦ Lucas Fernandes
Ricardo Alves 🟨
78′
R. Dadaşov 🔁
↦ Rafael Barbosa
79′
80′
Fali Candé 0–3
87′
🟨 Samuel
88′
🔁 I. Angulo
↦ Fali Candé
89′
🔁 Renato Júnior
↦ Beto
Telmo Arcanjo 🟨
91′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Tondela

4-2-3-1
99 B. Niasse G
23 Bebeto D
24 N. Khacef D
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
4 Jota Gonçalves D
8 João Pedro M
28 Tiago Dantas M
7 Salvador Agra M
70 Rafael Barbosa M
10 J. Murillo M
29 Daniel dos Anjos F
Bench (9)
21 Iker Undabarrena
34 Ricardo Alves
3 Neto Borges
80 Telmo Arcanjo
17 R. Dadaşov
45 S. Anne
6 Pedro Augusto
19 Tiago Almeida
88 Pedro Trigueira

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

Portimonense

4-1-4-1
94 Samuel G
3 Lucas Possignolo D
18 F. Moufi D
44 Pedrão D
4 Willyan M
5 Fali Candé D
76 Carlinhos M
8 Lucas Fernandes M
77 Aylton Boa Morte M
11 Anderson Oliveira M
14 Beto F
Bench (9)
21 Pedro Sá
20 Luquinhas
22 Filipe Relvas
70 I. Angulo
91 Renato Júnior
6 Henrique Jocú
33 Casagrande
25 G. Imbula
32 K. Nakamura

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U
2,93
B ✓
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.