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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Ath Bilbao
T U T S U
2–1
Full-time
Levante
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
8%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
25%
58%
Average goals
1,5
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
23 Shots 8
10 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 11. · Levante 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 12 8 1 3 +18 25
2 Real Madrid 12 7 4 1 +16 25
3 Sociedad 13 7 2 4 +7 23
4 Ath Madrid 12 5 6 1 +5 21
5 Sevilla 12 6 3 3 +2 21
6 Granada 13 6 2 5 +2 20
7 Valencia 13 5 5 3 +1 20
8 Getafe 12 5 4 3 +3 19
9 Villarreal 13 5 3 5 +7 18
10 Osasuna 12 4 6 2 +3 18
11 Ath Bilbao 12 4 5 3 +4 17
12 Levante 12 5 2 5 +1 17
13 Valladolid 13 4 5 4 -3 17
14 Alaves 13 4 3 6 -4 15
15 Eibar 13 4 3 6 -7 15
16 Mallorca 13 4 2 7 -7 14
17 Betis 12 3 4 5 -7 13
18 Celta 13 2 3 8 -12 9
19 Espanol 12 2 2 8 -14 8
20 Leganes 13 1 3 9 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Levante
Half-time 0–1
46′
Postigo 0–1
Miramón
Ibai Gómez 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
46′
49′
🟨 Enis Bardhi
1–1 Muniain
Capa
57′
Raúl García 🟨
62′
Dani García 🟨
62′
San José 🔁
↦ Unai López
67′
75′
🟨 Rubén Vezo
76′
🔁 Hernâni
↦ Borja Mayoral
Ander Capa 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 N. Vukčević
↦ Melero
Asier Villalibre 🔁
↦ Williams
87′
87′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Morales
2–1 Capa
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simon G
21 Ander Capa D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
4 Iñigo Martínez D
17 Yuri Berchiche D
14 Dani García M
8 Unai López M
10 Iker Muniain M
22 Raúl García M
11 Íñigo Córdoba M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
13 Iago Herrerín
3 Unai Núñez
15 Íñigo Lekue
34 Oihan Sancet
19 Ibai Gómez
6 Mikel San José
25 Asier Villalibre

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor G
20 Jorge Miramón D
15 Sergio Postigo D
14 Rubén Vezo D
19 Carlos Clerc D
24 José Campaña M
5 Nemanja Radoja M
22 Gonzalo Melero M
10 Enis Bardhi M
21 Borja Mayoral F
11 José Luis Morales F
Bench (7)
26 Dani Cárdenas
23 Coke
6 Óscar Duarte
17 Nikola Vukčević
7 Sergio León
8 Hernani
9 Roger Martí

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,77
B
5,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.