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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Ath Bilbao
T T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Levante
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 19. · Levante 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 3 1 1 +3 10
2 Getafe 5 3 1 1 +2 10
3 Cadiz 6 3 1 2 +0 10
4 Granada 5 3 1 1 -1 10
5 Betis 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +7 8
7 Sociedad 5 2 2 1 +5 8
8 Villarreal 5 2 2 1 -1 8
9 Barcelona 4 2 1 1 +6 7
10 Sevilla 4 2 1 1 +2 7
11 Osasuna 5 2 1 2 +1 7
12 Valencia 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Eibar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
14 Celta 6 1 2 3 -6 5
15 Huesca 5 0 4 1 -2 4
16 Elche 3 1 1 1 -2 4
17 Alaves 5 1 1 3 -3 4
18 Levante 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Ath Bilbao 4 1 0 3 -3 3
20 Valladolid 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Levante
Mikel Balenziaga ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
16′
33′
🟨 Rubén Vezo
Yeray Álvarez 🟨
41′
Ander Capa 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 Roger Martí
↦ Morales
63′
🔁 Jorge de Frutos
↦ Rochina
Unai López 🟨
64′
1–0 Álex Berenguer
Dani García
68′
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ Unai López
71′
Jon Morcillo 🔁
↦ Muniain
71′
74′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Melero
2–0 Williams
Jon Morcillo
79′
82′
🔁 N. Radoja
↦ Miramón
82′
🔁 Son
↦ E. Bardhi
Unai Vencedor 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
84′
Asier Villalibre 🔁
↦ Williams
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
24 Balenziaga D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
21 Capa D
5 Yeray D
22 Raúl García M
14 Dani García M
8 Unai López M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams F
12 Álex Berenguer M
Bench (12)
28 Oier Zarraga
2 Jon Morcillo
27 Unai Vencedor
20 Asier Villalibre
13 Jokin Ezkieta
16 Oihan Sancet
6 Mikel Vesga
15 Lekue
11 Iñigo Córdoba
3 Unai Núñez
26 Iñigo Vicente
25 Iago Herrerín

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Levante

4-4-2
1 Koke G
15 Postigo D
20 Miramón D
19 Clerc D
14 Rúben Vezo D
16 Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 Morales F
12 M. Malsa M
22 Melero F
10 E. Bardhi M
Bench (11)
9 Roger Martí
18 Jorge de Frutos
21 Dani Gómez
5 N. Radoja
2 Son
7 Sergio León
23 Coke
3 Toño
4 Rober
6 Ó. Duarte
34 Dani Cárdenas

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,29
B
3,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.