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La Liga
Referee: Cesar Soto Grado
Cadiz
T U T S S
0–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 23%
17%
28%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
25%
31%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,88 xG 0,56
49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 18. · Las Palmas 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 36 29 6 1 +61 +35.5 93
2 Barcelona 36 24 7 5 +31 +37.2 79
3 Girona 36 23 6 7 +30 +13.6 75
4 Ath Madrid 36 23 4 9 +28 +21.7 73
5 Ath Bilbao 36 17 11 8 +21 +10.4 62
6 Sociedad 36 15 12 9 +12 +6.4 57
7 Betis 36 14 14 8 +5 -6.6 56
8 Villarreal 36 14 9 13 +0 -4.2 51
9 Valencia 36 13 9 14 -3 -5.3 48
10 Alaves 37 12 9 16 -10 +0.4 45
11 Getafe 37 10 13 14 -11 -7.4 43
12 Sevilla 36 10 11 15 -3 -11.1 41
13 Osasuna 36 11 8 17 -14 -8.7 41
14 Las Palmas 36 10 8 18 -14 -21.6 38
15 Vallecano 36 8 14 14 -15 -2.3 38
16 Celta 36 9 10 17 -12 -3.8 37
17 Mallorca 36 7 15 14 -12 -6.1 36
18 Cadiz 36 6 14 16 -24 -14.2 32
19 Granada 36 4 9 23 -33 -20.0 21
20 Almeria 36 2 11 23 -37 -13.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Las Palmas
Javier Hernández ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
39′
Half-time 0–0
Chris Ramos 🟨
46′
Javier Hernández 🟨
46′
Sergi Guardiola 🔁
↦ Rubén Sobrino
55′
Juanmi 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
55′
Brian Ocampo 🔁
↦ Robert Navarro
67′
68′
🔁 Alex Suárez
↦ Julian Araujo
68′
🔁 Marc Cardona
↦ Sandro Ramírez
73′
🔁 José Campaña
↦ Enzo Loiodice
Víctor Chust 🟥
74′
Brian Ocampo 🟨
82′
83′
🟨 Marc Cardona
84′
🔁 Munir El Haddadi
↦ Alberto Moleiro
84′
🔁 Máximo Perrone
↦ Marvin Park
Maximiliano Gómez 🔁
↦ Chris Ramos
85′
Iza Carcelén 🔁
↦ Joseba Zaldúa
85′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
3 Fali D
5 Víctor Chust D
15 Javier Hernández D
7 Rubén Sobrino M
17 Gonzalo Escalante M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
27 Robert Navarro M
16 Chris Ramos F
21 Roger Martí F
Bench (12)
19 Sergi Guardiola
9 Juanmi
10 Brian Ocampo
20 Iza Carcelén
25 Maximiliano Gómez
13 David Gil
14 Mamadou Mbaye
33 Lucas Pires
6 Diadié Samassékou
8 Álex Fernández
11 Iván Alejo
18 Darwin Machís

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Las Palmas

4-3-3
13 Álvaro Valles G
28 Julian Araujo D
23 Saul Coco D
15 Mika Mármol D
3 Sergi Cardona D
5 Javier Muñoz M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
12 Enzo Loiodice M
2 Marvin Park F
9 Sandro Ramírez F
10 Alberto Moleiro F
Bench (12)
4 Alex Suárez
19 Marc Cardona
21 José Campaña
8 Máximo Perrone
17 Munir El Haddadi
1 Aarón Escandell
14 Álvaro Lemos
25 Fabio González
11 Benito Ramírez
22 Omenuke Mfulu
7 Cristian Herrera
16 Sory Kaba

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U ✓
3,47
B
4,64
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Cesar Soto Grado · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.