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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Las Palmas
S S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Getafe
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
56%
6%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,4
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,35 xG 1,11
64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 14. · Getafe 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 19 13 4 2 +24 +16.5 43
2 Ath Madrid 18 12 5 1 +21 +15.2 41
3 Barcelona 19 12 2 5 +29 +21.6 38
4 Ath Bilbao 19 10 6 3 +12 +7.7 36
5 Villarreal 18 8 6 4 +4 +10.1 30
6 Mallorca 19 9 3 7 -2 +0.4 30
7 Girona 19 8 4 7 +2 +5.3 28
8 Sociedad 18 7 4 7 +3 +3.6 25
9 Vallecano 19 6 7 6 +0 -2.9 25
10 Betis 19 6 7 6 -2 +5.2 25
11 Osasuna 18 6 7 5 -4 -6.0 25
12 Celta 19 7 3 9 -2 +7.4 24
13 Sevilla 19 6 5 8 -7 -5.3 23
14 Las Palmas 18 6 4 8 -4 -14.8 22
15 Leganes 19 4 7 8 -11 -16.1 19
16 Alaves 19 4 5 10 -10 -4.4 17
17 Getafe 18 3 7 8 -4 -3.4 16
18 Espanol 19 4 4 11 -14 -15.7 16
19 Valladolid 19 4 3 12 -24 -15.4 15
20 Valencia 19 2 7 10 -11 -8.9 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Getafe
16′
🟨 Mauro Arambarri
Half-time 0–0
Dário Essugo 🟨
46′
Manu Fuster 🔁
↦ Juanma Herzog
46′
Fábio Silva
penalty missed
56′
63′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ B. Yıldırım
63′
🔁 P. González
↦ Carles Aleñá
64′
🟨 Luis Milla
70′
Coba 0–1
C. Uche
Jaime Mata 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
80′
E. Loiodice 🔁
↦ Dário Essugo
80′
Marc Cardona 🔁
↦ Fábio Silva
80′
Alex Suárez 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Coba da Costa
86′
Borja Mayoral 0–2
Coba
A. Januzaj 🔁
↦ Javi Muñoz
87′
1–2 A. Januzaj
88′
90′
🔁 Álex Sola
↦ Coba
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
1 J. Cillessen G
28 Juanma Herzog D
4 Álex Suárez D
15 S. McKenna D
3 Mika Mármol D
29 Dário Essugo M
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
19 Sandro Ramírez M
5 Javi Muñoz M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
37 Fábio Silva F
Bench (10)
14 Manu Fuster
17 Jaime Mata
12 E. Loiodice
9 Marc Cardona
24 A. Januzaj
16 O. McBurnie
23 Álex Muñoz
11 Benito Ramírez
13 D. Horkaš
2 Marvin Park

Coach: Diego Martínez

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
2 D. Dakonam D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 O. Alderete D
21 Juan Iglesias D
11 Carles Aleñá M
5 Luis Milla M
8 M. Arambarri M
29 Coba M
6 C. Uche F
10 B. Yıldırım F
Bench (12)
9 Borja Mayoral
19 P. González
7 Álex Sola
42 Jorge Benito
38 Martín Cuéllar
28 I. Bekhoucha
17 Carles Pérez
34 David Argüelles
18 Á. Rodríguez
31 J. Patrick
37 Luca Lohr
1 J. Letáček

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
U
2,93
B ✓
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,67
U2,5
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.