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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Spezia
S U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Juve Stabia
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
35%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
35%
55%
Both score Ø 45%
35%
55%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 3. · Juve Stabia 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 21 15 4 2 +25 49
2 Pisa 20 12 5 3 +15 41
3 Spezia 20 10 8 2 +16 38
4 Cremonese 20 8 6 6 +5 30
5 Juve Stabia 20 7 8 5 -1 29
6 Catanzaro 20 5 12 3 +4 27
7 Bari 20 6 9 5 +4 27
8 Carrarese 20 7 6 7 -2 27
9 Modena 20 5 10 5 +1 25
10 Cesena 20 7 4 9 -1 25
11 Palermo 20 6 6 8 +1 24
12 Reggiana 20 6 6 8 -2 24
13 Cittadella 20 6 6 8 -12 24
14 Brescia 20 5 8 7 -3 23
15 Mantova 20 5 8 7 -4 23
16 Cosenza 20 4 9 7 -4 21
17 Sampdoria 20 4 8 8 -7 20
18 Frosinone 20 4 8 8 -10 20
19 Salernitana 21 4 6 11 -11 18
20 Sudtirol 20 5 3 12 -14 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Juve Stabia
Przemysław Wiśniewski 🟨
23′
Ádám Nagy 🟨
34′
41′
🟨 Davide Buglio
43′
🟨 Christian Pierobon
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Soleri
46′
46′
🔁 F. Maistro
↦ G. Leone
48′
F. Folino 1–1
Francesco Pio Esposito
penalty missed
59′
60′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ C. Pierobon
L. Vignali 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
65′
G. Aurelio 🔁
↦ A. Reca
65′
G. Di Serio 🔁
↦ E. Soleri
73′
R. Kouda 🔁
↦ D. Degli Innocenti
73′
A. Čolak 🔁
↦ F. Esposito
81′
85′
🔁 L. Sgarbi
↦ L. Candellone
85′
🔁 K. Piscopo
↦ A. Adorante
Giuseppe Di Serio 🟨
86′
Rachid Kouda 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Spezia

3-5-2
23 L. Chichizola G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
37 A. Matějů D
7 S. Elia M
6 D. Degli Innocenti M
8 Á. Nagy M
25 F. Bandinelli M
13 A. Reca M
9 F. Esposito F
27 E. Soleri F
Bench (12)
32 L. Vignali
31 G. Aurelio
20 G. Di Serio
80 R. Kouda
17 A. Čolak
11 D. Falcinelli
4 Salvador Ferrer
36 P. Candelari
65 S. Giorgeschi
29 F. Cassata
44 M. Benvenuto
66 S. Gori

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
23 F. Folino D
24 M. Varnier D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
8 D. Buglio M
55 G. Leone M
29 N. Fortini M
10 C. Pierobon F
27 L. Candellone F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (12)
37 F. Maistro
14 M. Meli
18 L. Sgarbi
11 K. Piscopo
25 A. Gerbo
1 K. Matošević
13 M. Baldi
5 T. Di Marco
17 G. Morachioli
16 A. Signorini
3 Y. Rocchetti
4 M. Ruggero

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U ✓
3,31
B
4,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.