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Serie B

Referee: L Massimi

Sudtirol

T U S T U

1–1

Full-time

Catanzaro

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

60%

45%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

55%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

20 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sudtirol 20. · Catanzaro 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	21	15	4	2	+25	49
2	Pisa	20	12	5	3	+15	41
3	Spezia	20	10	8	2	+16	38
4	Cremonese	20	8	6	6	+5	30
5	Juve Stabia	20	7	8	5	-1	29
6	Catanzaro	20	5	12	3	+4	27
7	Bari	20	6	9	5	+4	27
8	Carrarese	20	7	6	7	-2	27
9	Modena	20	5	10	5	+1	25
10	Cesena	20	7	4	9	-1	25
11	Palermo	20	6	6	8	+1	24
12	Reggiana	20	6	6	8	-2	24
13	Cittadella	20	6	6	8	-12	24
14	Brescia	20	5	8	7	-3	23
15	Mantova	20	5	8	7	-4	23
16	Cosenza	20	4	9	7	-4	21
17	Sampdoria	20	4	8	8	-7	20
18	Frosinone	20	4	8	8	-10	20
19	Salernitana	21	4	6	11	-11	18
20	Sudtirol	20	5	3	12	-14	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	10	8	1	1	+16	25
2	Pisa	10	7	3	0	+13	24
3	Spezia	9	7	2	0	+14	23
4	Carrarese	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	Cesena	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Mantova	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Catanzaro	11	4	5	2	+5	17
8	Bari	11	4	5	2	+3	17
9	Modena	10	4	4	2	+4	16
10	Juve Stabia	10	4	3	3	-1	15
11	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
12	Cremonese	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+2	12
14	Cittadella	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Salernitana	11	3	3	5	-2	12
17	Frosinone	10	2	5	3	-2	11
18	Cosenza	10	2	5	3	-2	11
19	Sampdoria	10	2	4	4	-2	10
20	Sudtirol	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Cremonese	10	5	2	3	+7	17
3	Pisa	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Spezia	11	3	6	2	+2	15
5	Juve Stabia	10	3	5	2	+0	14
6	Palermo	11	3	3	5	-1	12
7	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Cittadella	10	4	0	6	-12	12
9	Bari	9	2	4	3	+1	10
10	Catanzaro	9	1	7	1	-1	10
11	Cosenza	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Brescia	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Sampdoria	10	2	4	4	-5	10
14	Sudtirol	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Modena	10	1	6	3	-3	9
16	Frosinone	10	2	3	5	-8	9
17	Salernitana	10	1	3	6	-9	6
18	Carrarese	10	1	3	6	-10	6
19	Mantova	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Cesena	10	1	2	7	-7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.