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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Elche
S U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
48%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
43%
62%
Both score Ø 48%
33%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 22
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 4. · Zaragoza 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 22 12 6 4 +14 42
2 Santander 22 11 6 5 +5 39
3 Mirandes 22 11 5 6 +9 38
4 Elche 21 10 6 5 +13 36
5 Huesca 22 10 6 6 +10 36
6 Oviedo 22 10 6 6 +4 36
7 Levante 21 9 8 4 +10 35
8 Granada 22 9 7 6 +8 34
9 Sp Gijon 22 8 7 7 +4 31
10 Malaga 22 6 13 3 +2 31
11 Zaragoza 21 8 5 8 +5 29
12 Castellon 22 8 5 9 -1 29
13 Eibar 21 8 4 9 -2 28
14 Albacete 22 6 9 7 -3 27
15 Burgos 22 7 6 9 -7 27
16 Cordoba 22 7 6 9 -8 27
17 La Coruna 21 6 7 8 +2 25
18 Cadiz 21 5 8 8 -6 23
19 Eldense 21 5 6 10 -8 21
20 Ferrol 22 3 10 9 -14 19
21 Cartagena 22 4 3 15 -21 15
22 Tenerife 21 3 5 13 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Zaragoza
4′
🟨 Marc Aguado
21′
🟨 Dani Tasende
26′
🟨 Adrian Liso
Josan 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
Alvaro Núñez 🟨
51′
E. Rashani 🔁
↦ Yago Santiago
58′
John Donald 🔁
↦ José Salinas
68′
Rodrigo Mendoza 🔁
↦ N. Castro
68′
R. Núñez 🔁
↦ Josan
68′
72′
🟨 Enrique Clemente
74′
🔁 Toni Moya
↦ Marc Aguado
74′
🔁 Pau Sans
↦ Ager Aketxe
Nicolás Fernández 🟨
75′
Mourad El Ghezouani 🟨
80′
S. Kaba 🔁
↦ M. El Ghezouani
82′
84′
🔁 Adu Ares
↦ Adrian Liso
84′
🔁 Alberto Marí
↦ Iván Azón
90′
🔁 Jair Amador
↦ K. Bare
92′
🟨 Alberto Mari
1–0 E. Rashani
Rodrigo Mendoza
93′
Elbasan Rashani 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
22 D. Affengruber D
6 Pedro Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
17 Josan M
14 Aleix Febas M
21 N. Castro M
24 Yago Santiago M
10 N. Fernández F
19 M. El Ghezouani F
Bench (12)
11 E. Rashani
5 John Donald
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
36 R. Núñez
18 S. Kaba
16 Álex Martín
8 Raúl Guti
4 Bambo Diaby
1 Miguel San Román
9 A. Álvarez
2 Mario Gaspar
31 Gerard Hernández

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Zaragoza

3-4-3
13 G. Poussin G
15 Bernardo Vital D
24 Lluís López D
5 Enrique Clemente D
19 Iván Calero M
6 K. Bare M
8 Marc Aguado M
4 Dani Tasende M
23 Ager Aketxe F
9 Iván Azón F
33 Adrian Liso F
Bench (12)
21 Toni Moya
29 Pau Sans
20 Adu Ares
22 Alberto Marí
3 Jair Amador
17 Carlos Nieto
2 Marcos Luna
36 Hugo Barrachina
25 Joan Femenías
10 Sergio Bermejo
1 C. Álvarez
34 Lucas Terrer

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,27
B
4,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.