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Serie B
Referee: A Rapuano
Salernitana
U T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Sassuolo
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,2
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 45%
20%
70%
Points per game
0,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
40%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 19. · Sassuolo 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 20 14 4 2 +24 46
2 Pisa 20 12 5 3 +15 41
3 Spezia 20 10 8 2 +16 38
4 Cremonese 20 8 6 6 +5 30
5 Juve Stabia 20 7 8 5 -1 29
6 Catanzaro 20 5 12 3 +4 27
7 Bari 20 6 9 5 +4 27
8 Carrarese 20 7 6 7 -2 27
9 Modena 20 5 10 5 +1 25
10 Cesena 20 7 4 9 -1 25
11 Palermo 20 6 6 8 +1 24
12 Reggiana 20 6 6 8 -2 24
13 Cittadella 20 6 6 8 -12 24
14 Brescia 20 5 8 7 -3 23
15 Mantova 20 5 8 7 -4 23
16 Cosenza 20 4 9 7 -4 21
17 Sampdoria 20 4 8 8 -7 20
18 Frosinone 20 4 8 8 -10 20
19 Salernitana 20 4 6 10 -10 18
20 Sudtirol 20 5 3 12 -14 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Sassuolo
Andrés Tello 🟥
-5′
6′
F. Russo 0–1
K. Thorstvedt
Lorenzo Amatucci 🟨
22′
Paolo Ghiglione 🟨
30′
30′
🟨 Flavio Russo
40′
T. Muharemović 0–2
A. Laurienté
Half-time 0–2
P. Stojanović 🔁
↦ P. Ghiglione
46′
1–2 A. Cerri
47′
58′
🔁 S. Mulattieri
↦ F. Russo
D. Verde 🔁
↦ A. Raimondo
62′
R. Soriano 🔁
↦ G. Maggiore
62′
S. Girelli 🔁
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
71′
75′
🔁 E. Iannoni
↦ D. Boloca
75′
🔁 N. Pierini
↦ A. Laurienté
75′
🔁 Pedro Obiang
↦ A. Ghion
E. Torregrossa 🔁
↦ A. Cerri
81′
Gian Marco Ferrari 🟨
91′
92′
🔁 M. Lovato
↦ D. Berardi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-5-2
55 L. Sepe G
13 F. Ruggeri D
33 G. Ferrari D
47 L. Lochoshvili D
29 P. Ghiglione M
25 G. Maggiore M
73 L. Amatucci M
19 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
17 L. Njoh M
99 A. Raimondo F
90 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
30 P. Stojanović
31 D. Verde
21 R. Soriano
72 S. Girelli
10 E. Torregrossa
4 T. Velthuis
15 D. Bronn
7 F. Tongya
20 S. Włodarczyk
1 V. Fiorillo
70 A. Tello
16 T. Corazza

Coach: R. Breda

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
26 C. Odenthal D
80 T. Muharemović D
3 J. Doig D
8 A. Ghion M
11 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
45 A. Laurienté M
91 F. Russo F
Bench (12)
9 S. Mulattieri
40 E. Iannoni
77 N. Pierini
14 Pedro Obiang
20 M. Lovato
25 L. D'Andrea
17 Y. Paz
35 L. Lipani
12 G. Satalino
24 L. Moro
28 J. Antiste
15 E. Pieragnolo

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,00
U
3,56
B ✓
1,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.